A Combinatoric Probability Question

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The discussion focuses on calculating the probability of finding at least k non-empty boxes among n consecutive boxes selected from an infinite number of boxes, each with a non-empty probability p. The approach involves defining E(r) as the probability of having k empty boxes in a range of n boxes, and applying the inclusion-exclusion principle to derive the overall probability. A recursive formula is established: f(m+1,n,k) = f(m,n,k) - f(m-n+1,n,k) * C(n-1,k-1) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k), where f(m,n,k) represents the probability of the desired outcome.

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chingkui
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Suppose we have infinitely many boxes and the probability of anyone box is non-empty is p.
Now if we randomly choose m boxes from them, line them up and name them as box 1, box 2,..., box m. Then for given n and k (k<n<m), what is the probability that there exist a set of n consecutive boxes that we can find k or more non-empty boxes in it?
Anyone know how to approach this question? Thanks.
 
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let E(r) be the probaility that there are k empty boxes in the range (r,r+n-1) where r can go from 1 to m-n+1. Then we want to know

P(E(1)or(E(2)or..E(m-n+1))

which is inclusion exclusion principle innit?
 
you can formulate the following recursion
f(m+1,n,k)=f(m,n,k)-f(m-n+1,n,k).C(n-1,k-1).p^k.(1-p)^(n-k)
where f(m,n,k) is the probability that...("what you have stated")
 

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