UK Winter of 1968: Will History Repeat Itself?

[wolram]

The daily express on its front page is predicting the coldest winter in the uk
since 1968, it states that gas ond other reserverves will not last and that a
3 day working week may be enforced.
Where do they get these long range forcasts from ?

 

[honestrosewater]

I think they use the Magic 8 Ball. Hmm, Magic 8 Ball, am I correct about this?

M8B: It is certain.

Well, the ball has spoken.

 

[wolram]

I think they use the Magic 8 Ball. Hmm, Magic 8 Ball, am I correct about this?

M8B: It is certain.

Well, the ball has spoken.

Magic 8 ball speaks with forked tongue

 

[Andre]

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1819000,00.html

The idea is that the North Atlantic Oscillation flip flop is due for a strong negative flop that started early october and may remain negative a prolonged period.

http://www.expage.com/winter2005p2

A weak NAO tends to reduce the westerly flows, building high pressure areas around Greenland - Iceland - Ireland, this forces cold Arctic airmasses into western Europe.

But it's rather tentative.

 

[wolram]

Thanks Andre, i wonder why we get this all the time, they were predicting the
same last year, are they just pointing out the uk power output is marginal in
any case ?

 

[motai]

The Gulf Stream is one of the reasons why certain parts of the west of Britain and Ireland are an average of several degrees warmer than most other parts of those countries. Indeed, in Cornwall, and particularly the Isles of Scilly, its effects are such that plants associated with much warmer climates, such as palm trees, are able to survive the rigours of northern winters. Logan Botanic Garden in Scotland benefits strongly from the Gulf Stream, allowing their specimens of Gunnera manicata to grow to over 3 metres tall.

The effects of the Gulf Stream is also important further north. Average monthly temperatures in Røst and Værøy in Lofoten, Norway, inside the arctic circle, never drops below freezing in winter; this represents the worlds largest positive temperature anomaly relative to latitude.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Stream

Just a note, it's feeling rather chilly here in certain parts of Florida already, and if the Gulf Stream is the main outlet for warmth for Europe... it wouldn't be unsual for it to be little more cool than usual.

 

[wolram]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Stream
Just a note, it's feeling rather chilly here in certain parts of Florida already, and if the Gulf Stream is the main outlet for warmth for Europe... it wouldn't be unsual for it to be little more cool than usual.

Thanks motai, chilly in Florida ? what would that be, below 80f ?
Right now we have one of the warmest Octobers for years, it is about
70f here, which is most unusual.

 

[Andy]

We had a lovely day today on the south coast, makes up for all the rain over monday and tuesday though. Think that forecast of a 3 day working week is pretty stupid idea, surely the more time people spend at work the less time they spend at home with the central heating on.

 

[Andre]

Well here in South Germany the weather was rather extreme as well, 20C or 68F, let me show one of the pictures I shot on my little mountain yesterday:
http://home.wanadoo.nl/bijkerk/Dsc00852-fs-t.JPG

 

[wolram]

Nica pic Andre, i wish i had that kind of sceenery in my back yard

 

[Bladibla]

The daily express on its front page is predicting the coldest winter in the uk
since 1968, it states that gas ond other reserverves will not last and that a
3 day working week may be enforced.
Where do they get these long range forcasts from ?

Thinking that getting colder will result in more Snow, i am looking forward to it *grin*