More likely?by pivoxa15 Tags: None 

#1
Oct2506, 07:26 AM

P: 2,268

If two events 1 and 2 have probability 0.81 and 0.82
And another two events, 3 and 4 have probability 0.01 and 0.02 Would it be correct to say that (event 4 will occur more often than event 3), compared with (event 2 more likely to occur than even 1)? The comparison is 'the more likely'. To repharase the question. Is the (likliness of event 4 over event 3) greater than the likliness of (event 2 over event 1)? I hope this question makes sense. 



#2
Oct2506, 10:01 AM

P: 44

Yes, you are definitely correct.
Event 4 has exactly twice the probability of Event 3. Event 2 has almost the same probability as Event 1. Event 4 over Event 3 = 2/1 Event 2 over Event 1 = 82/81 Hope that helps. Simon 


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