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ECON: Confusing math regarding bonds? |
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| Jun3-12, 01:12 AM | #1 |
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ECON: Confusing math regarding bonds?
Here is a screenshot of a slide that the professor went over in class (PV = Present Value):
I think the reason why I don't understand what's going on in the math is because I don't understand the question at all. So the bond pays $100 each year and on the final year pays $1000. Then there is an interest rate of 7% per year (which means you would gain 7%. Am I right so far? Could someone please explain the intuition behind the math? Edit: Since it pays a total of $1300 would that mean you would get a profit of $1300-$1078.73? |
| Jun3-12, 02:41 AM | #2 |
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hi theBEAST!
![]() 7% is not the interest the bond is giving 7% is the interest you're losing by not having the money in the bank (which would give you 7% interest) so the bond-issuer needs to put $100/1.07 in the bank now to have enough money to pay the first $100 at the end of the first year (etc)
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| Jun3-12, 02:52 AM | #3 |
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But if the bank gives 7% interest, wouldn't it be better to put the money in the bank? With this bond you get $1300 at the end but if you put it in the bank for 3 years at 7% per year you get: 1078.73*1.07^3 = $1321 which is greater than $1300 |
| Jun3-12, 03:04 AM | #4 |
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ECON: Confusing math regarding bonds?
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| Jun3-12, 03:30 AM | #5 |
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| Jun3-12, 04:05 AM | #6 |
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he he
![]() we assume they are! |
| Jun3-12, 05:48 AM | #7 |
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Actually if you put 1000 bucks in the bank at 7% interest, you'd make 1000*(1.07)^3=1225 dollars, so you are better off with the bond. The bond must pay a higher interest rate, or else no one would buy it.
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| Jun4-12, 11:14 PM | #8 |
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You have to be careful with your interest rates. The bond pays 10% and the risk free rate, to which everything is compared, is 7%. The calculation given is the amount that you would pay for the bond today in order to receive the rate of 7% for the life of the bond. To see this, you pay $1,078.73 today for the bond. In one year it is worth (1078.73)(1.07)=$1,154.24. They pay you $100 and the bond is now worth $1,054.24. One year later it is worth (1054.24)(1.07)=$1,128.04. They pay $100 and it is worth $1,028.04. One year later it is worth (1028.04)(1.07)=$1,100, exactly the last payment.
Secondly, you can't just deposit the money into the bank and compare the accumulated value after 3 years to the receipts from the bond. You have to compare the same cash flows, in this case removing $100 at the end of year 1 and year 2. This is, in fact, the calculation above. The two investments are exactly equal, assuming there is no risk in the bond. The reason that there is a difference in the interest rates is because the risk free rate changes with time. This is why government bonds (which are risk free) never sell at face value. If I bought a 10% bond several years ago but the risk free rate has fallen to 7%, then I hold something which is worth more than its face value as in the example that your professor gave you. |
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