Originally Posted by CRGreathouse
They're both Poisson-distributed.
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I've thought about it well going for my run and a bit after I got home. The following is correct:
In the G(n, p) model, a graph is thought to be constructed by connecting nodes randomly. Each edge is included in the graph with probability p, with the presence or absence of any two distinct edges in the graph being independent. Equivalently, all graphs with n nodes and M edges have equal probability of p^M (1-p)^{{n \choose 2}-M}. The parameter p in this model can be thought of as a weighting function; as p increases from 0 to 1, the model becomes more and more likely to include graphs with more edges and less and less likely to include graphs with fewer edges. In particular, the case p = 0.5 corresponds to the case where all 2^\tbinom{n}{2} graphs on n vertices are chosen with equal probability.
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erd%C5%...del#Definition
However, if the number of nodes is large relative to the average order then the statistics tend towards Poisson statistics. I'll be more precise later. Anyway, in most networks of interest in sociology the number of nodes (people) can be very large (up to five billion) well, the average number of links can be very small (less then a few hundred). In the famous six degrees of seperation the number of nodes was chosen to be Thus if N = 300,000,000 (90% US pop.) and the average number of links was chosen to be 30.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Six_deg...on#Mathematics
The Poisson distribution can be derived as a limiting case to the binomial distribution as the number of trials goes to infinity and the expected number of successes remains fixed. Therefore it can be used as an approximation of the binomial distribution if n is sufficiently large and p is sufficiently small. There is a rule of thumb stating that the Poisson distribution is a good approximation of the binomial distribution if n is at least 20 and p is smaller than or equal to 0.05, and an excellent approximation if n ≥ 100 and np ≤ 10.[1]
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson..._distributions
So for a given vertex the probabilty of an endge being included is
p=<edges/nodes>/nodes~total edges/(total nodes)^2
and the total possible number of edges for a given node is
n=nodes
therefore
n*p=edges/nodes.
Therefore if there are 10 times as nodes as the average order then by the above rule of thumb a poison distribution is a suitable approximation.