Recent content by BBITA

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    Graduate Combining Probability Estimates for Event Prediction

    I have about 500 events over about 30 years. Most are repetitive editions of the same circuit. I have drawn correlations between practice and qualifying times, record of recent performance, created a driver's performance coefficient, and normalised for weather conditions. The probabilities...
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    Graduate Combining Probability Estimates for Event Prediction

    Good morning Stephen (and all), With the start of the F1 season, I am back on hobby project where I am trying to assess the viability of a performance model I have developed, the output being the probability of each car in a race winning, summing to one for all entrants. I also have the...
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    Graduate Combining Probability Estimates for Event Prediction

    Firstly, hello from Sydney, Australia. It is terrific to have found your forum, it looks great and full of strong contributions. I'd be much obliged if anyone out there can help me with this problem... I am trying to combine two probability estimates for an event. I have many thousands of...