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I just realized this didn't land the way I thought it would. (especially since it's too low-rez to actually read the comments) FBusers...

The probability of a Monty Hall thread being only 2 posts long is substantially less than 1/3.

"Hedging your bets" is a legitimate technique to reduce the severity/variance/magnitude of alternative outcomes.

It fits fine, but is not as compelling. For the player that has the car behind their door, Monty cannot spoil the game and that player...

Suppose Monte makes his decision blindly and the game is declared invalid and restarted if he opens the prize door. Then, for valid...

But there might be a detail missing here. If Monte opens a door blindly, and it happens to be a goat by luck, then 50% is, indeed...

In a nutshell. There are three boxes, 0, 1, and 2. The player picks a random box. 0, 1, or 2. If you simulate the game, then the player...

Yeah! That may actually be the gotcha - a deliberate ruse, depending on whether one trusts Monty to give away a whole car, or nah.

It's a Rorschach test. I would reject the switch because I am a paranoid person. ;-)

OK, a case of wrong logic leading to the right answer. IOW, Monty's actions are trying to help them win.

You could use the whole deck. The ace of spades is the prize and every other card is not. After the contestant chooses one card face...

Just to be clear. None of this is about "the contents changing". It is only about changing your estimate of the odds of doors having...

The real difference is between luck versus the sure thing of a rule. If Monte blindly opens a goat door, that is luck that changes the...

The only one I know as an example is the country song, "Walk My Walk", that recently won an award and was AI-generated. There was a big...

A few of us have come across other music or songs of that kind of quality, AND were made using artificial intelligence.