javisot's latest activity
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Jjavisot reacted to FactChecker's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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It's a Rorschach test. I would reject the switch because I am a paranoid person. ;-) -
Jjavisot reacted to DaveC426913's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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OK, a case of wrong logic leading to the right answer. IOW, Monty's actions are trying to help them win. -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem.It should also be noted that, in practice, offering a switch is a provocation. Far more people than usual, when offered a switch, think...
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Jjavisot reacted to Dale's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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You could use the whole deck. The ace of spades is the prize and every other card is not. After the contestant chooses one card face... -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem.True, I didn't see the simplified version Ibix proposed. Simply using the three cards is enough.
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Jjavisot reacted to DaveC426913's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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Cool, but three playing cards would be a lot more efficient an expedient. -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem.You simply need three glasses, a stone, and a contestant. 1- Hide the stone in one of the three glasses. 2- Tell the contestant to...
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Jjavisot reacted to FactChecker's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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The real difference is between luck versus the sure thing of a rule. If Monte blindly opens a goat door, that is luck that changes the... -
Jjavisot reacted to pines-demon's post in the thread Graduate Understanding Barandes' microscopic theory of causality with
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This seems to be in general and not necessarily specific to Barandes formulation -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Graduate Understanding Barandes' microscopic theory of causality.True, Barandes doesn't give his opinion in this clip, he simply shows how the situation is.
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Jjavisot reacted to sysprog1's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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It's not 50%. Among car-door pickers (1/3 of contestants), all stickers win, all switchers lose; Among goat-door pickers (2/3 of... -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Graduate Understanding Barandes' microscopic theory of causality.
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Jjavisot reacted to Dale's post in the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem with
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There are two choices. One has 1/3 chance having the car and the other has 2/3 chance to have the car. Your error is in thinking that... -
Jjavisot replied to the thread Undergrad Please Explain (actually explain) The Monty Hall Problem.So you have set A with 1 box and set B with 99 boxes. You'll agree that the car is more likely to be in set B, It's more likely that...
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Jjavisot replied to the thread Graduate Understanding Barandes' microscopic theory of causality.And would all those trajectories go from past to future?