Recent content by Ursole
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
No doubt it is provable, but I don't know of one. Thanks for the tip. .- Ursole
- Post #17
- Forum: General Math
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
Can it be further improved? No, seems like we can't escape from having 4 false negatives and 1 false positive. The formatting below didn't come out well here. The totals are the sum of Prob. Let probability partner says n = PPSn Let probability of guessing right = PGR Let PGR * PPSn...- Ursole
- Post #14
- Forum: General Math
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
However, it is possible to improve on 5/6!- Ursole
- Post #12
- Forum: General Math
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
But your strategy should also include you and your partner agreeing always to call the higher [or lower] number. Then I make make the probability of being right equal to (5/6)(4/5) + (1/6)(6/6) = 5/6 Do you agree? .- Ursole
- Post #10
- Forum: General Math
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Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights
Sorry, AKG. I forgot the wording of the puzzle. :redface:- Ursole
- Post #6
- Forum: General Discussion
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
If you always call 'not summing to 7, then you will be right every time a double is thrown. .- Ursole
- Post #8
- Forum: General Math
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
I don't agree with your 9/11 perhaps you are forgetting about doubles.- Ursole
- Post #6
- Forum: General Math
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Graduate Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy
Let n = number of times the coin is flipped. I open a box and see 3^a dollars, where a > 1. I know n = a or a-1, and Prob(n = a) is half of Prob(n = a-1); Prob(n = a) = 1/3 Prob(n = a-1) = 2/3 By the way, an 'optimum' strategy of always switching violates symmetry. .- Ursole
- Post #8
- Forum: General Math
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Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights
Captain, this is not logical. [It is a personal opinion.] .- Ursole
- Post #4
- Forum: General Discussion
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
If the partner has to say "I see at least one of n" where n is the value of one of the two dice that were cast and then you have to say "the sum equals 7" or "the sum does not equal 7", what strategy could you and your partner decide upon, before starting the game, that would optimize your...- Ursole
- Post #4
- Forum: General Math
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Graduate Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy
While it's true that the probability of picking the box with the larger amount is 1/2, the conditional probability that the other box contains more money given that the first box contained a dollars is 1 if a = 3 and 1/3 otherwise. So if you find a (a > 3) in the box and stick, you get a...- Ursole
- Post #6
- Forum: General Math
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Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights
You are given that: Pure philosophers always tell the truth concerning their beliefs. Applied philosophers always lie concerning their beliefs. Sane philosophers beliefs are always correct. Insane pilosophers beliefs are always incorrect. Four philosophers {A,B,C,D}) have the...- Ursole
- Thread
- Replies: 5
- Forum: General Discussion
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Undergrad Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice
The probability of rolling a 7 with a pair of ordinary dice is 1/6 because, of the 36 possible (and equally likely) combinations, six of them sum to 7. Now, suppose the dice are rolled out of one's sight and some honest person who can see the result tells us that at least one of the dice came up...- Ursole
- Thread
- Dice Probability Rolling
- Replies: 22
- Forum: General Math
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Graduate Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy
Assume I flip a fair coin n times until it comes up Heads. Now I take two large boxes, in one of which I place $3^n (3 to the power of n dollars) and in the other I place $3^(n+1) (3 to the power of n+1 dollars). I then give you the two closed seemingly identical boxes and allow you to open one...- Ursole
- Thread
- Strategy
- Replies: 9
- Forum: General Math
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Undergrad Solving the Distance Travelled by an Accelerating Car
I thought this was a forum.- Ursole
- Post #2
- Forum: General Math