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According to Milankovitch cycles, is the earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?
Cooling; the Milankovitch theory as tuned by Imbrie predicts that the long-term cooling
trend which began some 6000 years ago would otherwise continue for 23,000 years.
http://math.virginia.edu/~ji2k/Home/Papers/Imbrie-Imbrie.pdf
klimatos
Apr21-11, 11:26 PM
According to Milankovitch cycles, is the earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?
If you accept the Milankovitch Hypothesis as explaining the periodicity of the Pleistocene glacial epochs (as NASA does), then we are 20,000 years into a 50,000 warming cycle. This will be followed by a 50,000 cooling cycle and another Ice Age--assuming anthropogenic effects do not overpower the effects of orbital forcing.
Imbrie disagrees, but my own readings suggest the most scholars agree with NASA. Follow some of the Google references and come to your own conclusions.
Any links supporting NASA's alleged position?
klimatos
Apr22-11, 11:07 PM
Any links supporting NASA's alleged position?
Yes. Try http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Milankovitch/milankovitch_3.php
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