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kingwinner
Jul8-11, 04:26 AM
Theorem: If "θ hat" is an unbiased estimator for θ AND Var(θ hat)->0 as n->∞, then it is a consistent estimator of θ.

The textbook proved this theorem using Chebyshev's Inequality and Squeeze Theorem and I understand the proof.
BUT then there is a remark that we can replace "unbiased" by "asymptotically unbiased" in the above theorem, and the result will still hold, but the textbook provided no proof. This is where I'm having a lot of trouble. I really don't see how we can prove this (i.e. asymptotically unbiased and variance->0 implies consistent). I tried to modify the original proof, but no way I can get it to work under the assumption of asymptotically unbiased.

I'm frustrated and I hope someone can explain how to prove it. Thank you!

micromass
Jul8-11, 09:18 AM
Hi kingwinner! :smile:

What about the following adjustment:

P(|\hat{\theta}_n-\theta_0|\geq \varepsilon)\leq P(|\hat{\theta}_n-E(\hat{\theta}_n)|+|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|\geq \varepsilon)\leq \frac{Var(\hat{\theta}_n)}{(\varepsilon-|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|)^2}\rightarrow 0

kingwinner
Jul8-11, 04:14 PM
Hi kingwinner! :smile:

What about the following adjustment:

P(|\hat{\theta}_n-\theta_0|\geq \varepsilon)\leq P(|\hat{\theta}_n-E(\hat{\theta}_n)|+|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|\geq \varepsilon)\leq \frac{Var(\hat{\theta}_n)}{(\varepsilon-|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|)^2}\rightarrow 0

Thanks for the help, but one of the assumptions of Chebyshev's inequality requires \varepsilon-|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|>0 which is not necessarily true here?

micromass
Jul8-11, 04:20 PM
Thanks for the help, but one of the assumptions of Chebyshev's inequality requires \varepsilon-|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|>0 which is not necessarily true here?

It's not necessarily true, but it is true for large n. We know that

E(\hat{\theta}_n)\rightarrow \theta_0

So from a certain n0, we know that

|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|<\varepsilon

So from that certain n0, we know that

\varepsilon-|E(\hat{\theta}_n)-\theta_0|>0

kingwinner
Jul8-11, 04:28 PM
Thanks for the help! :) You're a legend...