Solve Probability Question: Tossing 3 Heads in a Row out of 64 Tosses

  • Context: Undergrad 
  • Thread starter Thread starter Yura
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability Urgent
Click For Summary

Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of tossing 3 heads in a row out of 64 tosses. Participants explore different interpretations of the problem, including whether it refers to getting exactly three heads in a row or at least three heads in a row at least once. The scope includes probabilistic reasoning and combinatorial calculations.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses uncertainty about the problem's specifics, questioning whether it involves getting 3 heads and 61 tails or specifically 3 heads in a row.
  • Another participant interprets the problem as needing at least 3 consecutive heads at least once, noting the complexity of the calculations involved.
  • A different participant calculates the probability of getting 3 heads in a row for 3 flips, stating it as 1 in 8, and outlines a method for determining the probability across 62 groups of three consecutive flips in 64 tosses.
  • This participant further discusses the conditional probabilities of getting 3 heads in subsequent groups, suggesting a cumulative approach to find the total probability.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the exact interpretation of the problem, with multiple competing views on whether it concerns at least three heads in a row or exactly three heads. The discussion remains unresolved regarding the final probability calculation.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations regarding the assumptions made about the problem's requirements, particularly in defining what constitutes "3 heads in a row" and the implications of different interpretations on the probability calculations.

Yura
Messages
37
Reaction score
0
hi, i posted this question in the probability forum here but no one is even browsing that one.

my brother needs to know this but I'm in exam block right now and can only think of the physics I am studying this term. i can't remember how to figure this out anymore i just know i'll probably have to use nCr and nPr.
heres the question:
how do i find the probability of getting tossing 3 heads in a row out of 64 tosses?

thanks, much appreciated.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Do you mean getting 3 heads and 61 tails or 3 heads in a row?
 
My interpretation was getting 3 heads in a row (at least once or exactly once? Exactly three or would 4 heads in a row also count?) anywhere in the 61 flips. Looks to me like a very hard problem with a lot of calculation involved.
 
I will assume the problem is having at least 3 consecutive heads at least once.
In 3 flips you have the following possibilities:
TTT
TTH
THT
THH
HTT
HTH
HHT
HHH
So you have a 1 in 8 probability to get threee heads in a row with 3 flips.
You have 62 groups of three consecutive flips in 64 tosses:
1 2 3 - 2 3 4 - ... - 62 63 64.
You have 1/8 probability of getting 3 heads in the first group and 7/8 of not getting it.
The probability of getting the 3 heads in the second group given that you did not get it in the first is
7/8 * 1/8 = 7/64
So you have a 57/64 chance of not getting 3 heads in the first 2 groups.
The probability of getting the 3 heads in the third group given that you did not get it in the first two is:
57/64 * 1/8 = 57/512
and so on...
The total probability is the sum 1/8 + 7/64 + 57/512 + ... very near 1.
 
Last edited by a moderator:

Similar threads

  • · Replies 57 ·
2
Replies
57
Views
7K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
6K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
2K
  • · Replies 45 ·
2
Replies
45
Views
6K
Replies
4
Views
3K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
4K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
5K
  • · Replies 11 ·
Replies
11
Views
4K