We have FIVE predictions on record as of now: J.J. Darland, ControlByte, NerfMonkey, Chronos, and mine.
And the way things are going at the moment, we are all way off! The public standing of Smolin's book, gauged by its salesrank, has taken a nosedive. I just happened to look today and It is down at 0.7, lower than I have ever seen it.
1 September 6.4
1 October 6.5
1 November 5.2
1 December 2.4
8 December 2.5
9 December 3.0
...
11 December 2.5
12 December 3.1
13 December 2.6
14 December 4.1
15 December 2.5
...
19 December 1.6
20 December 1.8
...
23 December 3.1
24 December 2.4
...
28 December 0.7
29 December 0.9
...
1 January ?
...
1 February ?
Some recent ratios
6312.2/2039 = 3.1
6327.4/2613 = 2.4
5211.2/7957 = 0.7
3801.2/4026 = 0.9
We are trying to predict what this impact ratio will be on 1 February, although an informal guess for 1 January is on record as well. We will know about that in a few days. The main result is still over a month off. It ain't over till it's over
