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(CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY) Which probability would you expect to be greater?

 
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Sep26-09, 08:43 AM   #1
 

(CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY) Which probability would you expect to be greater?

Which probability would you expect to be greater?

(a) The probability that a person is smart given that he has a university degree,

OR,

(b) the probability that a person has a university degree given that he is smart?


I would say (a)>(b), but, what would you say?
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Sep26-09, 06:36 PM   #2
 
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With no data, we're just guessing aren't we. I would guess in agreement with you because I would guess that the proportion of people with university degrees worldwide isn't that large, smart or not.
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