What is the Probability of Different Poker Hands?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probabilities of different poker hands, specifically focusing on Full House, Three of a Kind, and One Pair. Participants are exploring the combinatorial aspects of drawing cards from a standard deck of 52 playing cards without replacement.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Homework-related
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses confusion about calculating the probabilities for Full House, Three of a Kind, and One Pair, referencing specific answers from a textbook.
  • Another participant questions the relationship between Full House, Three of a Kind, and One Pair, suggesting that understanding the total number of possible hands could simplify the calculations.
  • A later reply proposes a method for calculating the probability of a Full House, indicating that there are 13 different three of a kinds and discussing the selection of pairs from the remaining cards.
  • Further clarification is provided on the calculation for Full House, emphasizing the need to consider combinations of card values and suits.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the correct method for calculating the probabilities, and multiple approaches are presented without agreement on which is correct.

Contextual Notes

Participants express uncertainty regarding the assumptions needed for their calculations, such as the total number of distinct pairs and the selection process for different hand types. There are also unresolved mathematical steps in the proposed calculations.

gimpy
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I think my brain is freezing. I can't see how to get the answers to these questions.

A poker hand is defined as drawing 5 cards at random without replacement from a deck of 52 playing cards. Find the probability of each of the following poker hands.

(a) Full House (one pair and one triple of cards with the same face value).

(b) Three of a kind (three equal face values plus two cards of different values).

(c) One pair (one pair of equal face value plus three cards of a different kind).

So for (a) i got [tex]\frac{C(26,2)C(11,1)}{C(52,2)}[/tex]. But I am so lost. To much studying this week :S.

The answers in the back f the book are
(a) 0.00144
(b) 0.02113
(c) 0.42257

Can anyone help me out?
 
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Is a full house also a three of a kind? Is a full house also a pair?

Consider that there are [tex]\binom{52}{5}[/tex] possible different poker hands, all of which are equaly likely. So if you can figure out the number of different hands that are , for example a four of a kind, then you're home free.

So, let's look at the possibilities for a four of a kind:
There are 13 different card values that the four of a kind can have, and there are 48 other cards that can be in the four of a kind, so the odds of getting a four of a kind are:
[tex]\frac{13*48}{\binom{52}{5}}[/tex]
 
Thanks for your reply,

Well i understand that. That was actually one of the questions which i got. Say for:
(a) Full House (one pair and one triple of cards with the same face value).

there are 13 different three of a kind that you can get just like 4 of a kind. Then you are left with 49 cards which equals 24 pairs which one left over and only 12 distinct pairs. So does this mean:
[tex]\frac{13*24}{\binom{52}{5}}[/tex]
or take the pair first, therefore 26 pairs and then 12 ways of selecting 3 of a kind.
[tex]\frac{26*12}{\binom{52}{5}}[/tex]

Both of those answers doesn't correspond to the answer 0.00144 in the book.

Im so confused
 
Well, there's a little bit more to it:

There are [tex]13*\binom{4}{3}[/tex] three of a kinds, and [tex]12*\binom{4}{2}[/tex] remaining pairs. So for a full house it's:
[tex]\frac{13\binom{4}{3}*12\binom{4}{2}}{\binom{52}{5}}[/tex]
 

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