Will China Outpace the US in Science & Tech?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the potential for China to surpass the United States in science and technology within the next 25 years. Participants explore various factors influencing this possibility, including economic structures, military technology, and societal challenges.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that overtaking the US in science and technology is a possibility that warrants serious consideration due to the survival value of advancements in these fields.
  • One participant argues that while China may achieve parity in military technology by allocating significant economic resources, the transition to a semi-free market could lead to greater dynamism compared to the Soviet Union's command economy.
  • Another participant raises the question of China's membership in the WTO as an indication of a shift towards a free market, but notes the challenges posed by disparities between urban and rural areas in modernizing the countryside.
  • Conversely, a participant expresses skepticism about China's ability to achieve this goal within 25 years, citing the large population of poor individuals with limited access to scientific knowledge and technology.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the likelihood of China overtaking the US in science and technology, with no consensus reached on the timeframe or feasibility of such an outcome.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight various assumptions regarding economic conditions, societal knowledge, and technological development, which remain unresolved in the discussion.

EngTechno
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Do you think that China will overtake the United States in Science and Technology within 25 years or so?
 
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It is a possibility that should be strongly considered. Science and technology has enormous survival value. Selective extinction of competing factions can be accomplished without adverse consequences.
 
:biggrin: Absolutely not if you have help from ET.
 
EngTechno said:
Do you think that China will overtake the United States in Science and Technology within 25 years or so?

It depends on the kind of technology. In military technology they can probably do what the USSR did back in the cold war, stay equal by devoting enormous fractions of their economy to it. But you've got to remember they're converting to a sort of semi-free market, so they may show more dynamism that the Soviet Union did with its command economy.
 
Isn't China a member of the WTO? It sounds like a push towards a free market. Then again, I've understood there is a quite big differences between urban and country areas. Merging those (Ie. modernizing the country side) would be a big challenge within the coming 25 years. Perhaps once that is done successfully US has more competition than now?
 
I don't think China can do that in 25 years.
Too much poor people, and most of them has little knowledge of science and technology except those that are in the cities, who only devote themselves to entertaining electronic devices.
 

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