Dale's latest activity

Why do you keep ignoring us when we point out this isn't true?

Note that your modified game is only the same as the normal one if this "awkward situation" is dealt with somehow - perhaps re-playing...

Here are the results of the 200 game sim. You are welcome to run analysis on the randomly generated numbers to assure yourself they're...

The two versions of Monty Hall, in terms of calculation look like: Monty Hall (proper game) has three equally likely scenarios...

This lies at the root of your misunderstanding. Gravity is the name we give to the phenomenon. There's gravitational force and...

If it's not obvious, do the math, systematically without any intuitive reasoning. Make sure you use a consistent sign convention. All...

It was far easier than I had thought. Bayes theorem is $$P(H|E)=\frac{P(E|H) \ P(H)}{P(E)}$$ There are ##N## doors. The contestant...

I see what you did there :wink:. But it made me realize that I don't think that I have ever seen a Bayesian analysis of the Monty Hall...

But there is. You keep saying this, but saying it doesn't make it true. This isn't politics. And then you received additional...

For example, someone in my class at school insisted that if Liverpool Football Club played our local village team, then the result would...

You're not calculating probabilities here. Probabilities can be tested by experiment. If we played this game repeatedly, then I could...

This is false. They know that the probability of the originally chosen door being a winner is 1/N. They know that N-2 other doors have...

I wrote this sim. https://www.davesbrain.ca/science/monty-hall.html Staying wins one third of the time. Switching wins two-thirds of...

Gravity is treated as a force classically. In the special case that the object is in free fall, meaning that no other force acts on...

This is a very useful tool in general called “Monte Carlo simulation”. I use it a lot.