Another confusion: How many measurements is many ?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the question of how many measurements are considered "many" in the context of verifying quantum mechanical predictions, particularly the uncertainty principle. Participants explore the statistical nature of measurements in quantum mechanics and classical scenarios, debating the implications of measurement error and the criteria for statistical significance.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants question how many measurements are necessary to achieve statistical significance in verifying quantum mechanical predictions, suggesting numbers like 100, 1000, or 10000.
  • Others argue that the need for numerous measurements is a characteristic of any statistical theory, not just quantum mechanics, and discuss the process of verifying whether a series of results aligns with theoretical probability distributions.
  • A participant highlights the classical measurement scenario, emphasizing that measurement errors lead to distributions of values and the necessity of confidence intervals in determining accuracy.
  • One participant proposes a simple rule that the standard deviation of measurements is related to the square root of the number of events measured.
  • Some express confusion about the implications of their measurements, particularly regarding the uncertainty principle and whether it can be violated based on limited measurements.
  • There is a discussion about the relationship between measurements of position and momentum, questioning how they can be compared given their different units.
  • Participants explore the concept of "sufficient" measurements, suggesting that the required number depends on subjective accuracy requirements.
  • One participant clarifies that the standard deviation of a sample does not equate to the standard deviation of the underlying distribution, emphasizing the need for many measurements to approach the true distribution value.
  • There are inquiries about the necessity of learning statistical mathematics to understand quantum mechanics deeply, with varying opinions on the depth of knowledge required.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on the number of measurements needed for statistical significance, with no consensus reached. There are disagreements on the implications of specific measurements and their relationship to the uncertainty principle, as well as varying opinions on the necessity of statistical math for understanding quantum mechanics.

Contextual Notes

Participants acknowledge limitations in their understanding of statistical properties and the assumptions underlying their discussions, particularly regarding the nature of distributions and measurement accuracy.

kof9595995
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Another confusion: How many measurements is "many"?

Since quantum mechanics gives only statistical prediction, we actually need numerous measurements to verify the theory. But how many measurements will make it statistically meaningful?
Let's say we want to verify the uncertainty principle, we make two measurements of the momentum and position. If the results of two measurements just happen to be the same, then the standard deviations are 0, it'll make delta x*deltap=0.
Of course we can say only two measurements won't make the result statistical, but how many is "many"? 100, 1000, 10000? What's the criterion?
 
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kof9595995 said:
Since quantum mechanics gives only statistical prediction, we actually need numerous measurements to verify the theory. But how many measurements will make it statistically meaningful?

That's not a specificity of quantum theory, but of any statistical theory. Quantum theory calculates probability distributions for results (like any other model, say, in medicine, would). Next, it is a matter of statistical techniques to verify whether a time series of actual results is compatible with the theoretical distributions or not. And this result itself is (except in some trivial cases), itself a statistical prediction :redface:

In other words, you might have a probability distribution F, and a series of results g = {f1,f2,...fN} from measurement, and there is then a way to calculate what is the probability, P, that the series of results is actually drawn from distribution F.
Which means that if you have a series of such series, {g1, g2, ...,gM}, that you can calculate what is the probability P', that the different series g1, g2... had a probability P to be drawn from F.
And in order to verify this probability P', you could have series of series, {h1, h2, h3,...}...

and so on.

But that's not a difficulty of quantum mechanics per se. It is a difficulty of any theory that gives you probability distributions.
 


Let's just ignore QM and consider the classical case. You're measuring a property that has a definite value. In reality, you will always have measurement error, so you get a distribution of measured values. Given this, you can calculate your measured value, and the deviation. Deviations come with a confidence interval.
For instance, you say a measurement might be 1.0 meters ± 0.01 with a 95% confidence interval and 1.0 m ± 0.02 with a 99% confidence interval. (of course, even that requires knowledge of the nature of the distribution, which in itself is an assumption based on measurement...)

You can't get to 100% confidence.

Now, with a quantum-mechanical value, what you're measuring isn't a definite value, but a distribution in itself. So, to begin with, your measurement accuracy has to be smaller than the quantum-mechanical distribution, otherwise it'll just get lost in the noise. Which is the case with macroscopic measurements.

What you have with QM is an analagous situation, just a bit more complicated. Basically you'll have a situation where it's a matter of to what degree your measured distribution matches the actual quantum-mechanical distribution, rather than how sharply the distribution is concentrated around the 'actual' value.

But in either case, if you know the measurement distribution, or the quantum-mechanical one (whichever is most significant) you can calculate/estimate how many measurements you will need to get the expectation value with a certain degree of confidence.
 
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As a simple rule, if you are measuring a number of events and find N, the standard deviation is +/-\sqrt{N}.
 


Em, I still don't get it. Maybe let me think and I'll ask you guys later.
 


Consider instead of "many" the notion of "sufficient". The latter depends on your requirements, i.e. it is subjective. If, say, accuracy of 5% is sufficient to you, than the sufficient number is quite determined and Nmany ≥ Nsuff.(5%).
 
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Ok,guys, I have to admit I got no clue at all.
So let's start with the case I proposed:
kof9595995 said:
Let's say we want to verify the uncertainty principle, we make two measurements of the momentum and position. If the results of two measurements just happen to be the same, then the standard deviations are 0, it'll make delta x*deltap=0.

So can we say there's a chance that the uncertainty principle can be violated?
 


No......
You can't apply statistics to one measurement.
 


clem said:
No......
You can't apply statistics to one measurement.
But there are two.
 
  • #10


kof9595995 said:
Let's say we want to verify the uncertainty principle, we make two measurements of the momentum and position. If the results of two measurements just happen to be the same, then the standard deviations are 0, it'll make delta x*deltap=0.

How can a measurement of position be the same as a measurement of momentum when they don't even have the same units?
 
  • #11


kote said:
How can a measurement of position be the same as a measurement of momentum when they don't even have the same units?
I mean we measure position twice and momentum twice, and the results happen to be the same respectively.
 
  • #12


kof9595995 said:
Ok,guys, I have to admit I got no clue at all.
So let's start with the case I proposed:So can we say there's a chance that the uncertainty principle can be violated?

The standard deviation of the sample is not the standard deviation of the distribution (but will, as every other statistical property, TEND to the distribution value with many measurements).

Look at it this way:
you throw heads. You throw heads again. (one chance out of 4 to do this).

Does that mean that the standard deviation of the distribution of throws (50% heads, 50% tails) is 0 ? No, it means that you've a particular sample of which the sample moment of 2nd order is 0.

This is similar to thinking that if you make one trial, you have the average. You have the average of your sample (of course). But not of the distribution from which it was drawn.

In the same way as the single value of a trial (which is of course equal to the "average" of that sample) is not the average of the distribution (but rather a bad-quality estimator of that value), we also have that the single value of the second moment of a (small) sample is not the standard deviation of the distribution (but rather a bad-quality estimator of that value).
 
  • #13


vanesch said:
The standard deviation of the sample is not the standard deviation of the distribution (but will, as every other statistical property, TEND to the distribution value with many measurements).

Look at it this way:
you throw heads. You throw heads again. (one chance out of 4 to do this).

Does that mean that the standard deviation of the distribution of throws (50% heads, 50% tails) is 0 ? No, it means that you've a particular sample of which the sample moment of 2nd order is 0.

This is similar to thinking that if you make one trial, you have the average. You have the average of your sample (of course). But not of the distribution from which it was drawn.

In the same way as the single value of a trial (which is of course equal to the "average" of that sample) is not the average of the distribution (but rather a bad-quality estimator of that value), we also have that the single value of the second moment of a (small) sample is not the standard deviation of the distribution (but rather a bad-quality estimator of that value).
So the uncertainty principle is about the standard deviation of the distribution? I see, my understanding of uncertainty principle was totally wrong until now. Thanks for clarifying.
 
  • #14


And by the way, do I have to learn a lot statistical math to get a deep understanding about QM? I never indeed paid too much attention to statistical math.
 
  • #15


Depends on how deep you want to go, and what specific details you want to focus on. In my opinion you can get very far without "a lot of statistical math".
 
  • #16


Fredrik said:
Depends on how deep you want to go, and what specific details you want to focus on. In my opinion you can get very far without "a lot of statistical math".
That's what I thought. Before my QM course started I took a glimpse of some QM books just to have a look at the fancy math notations, and didn't find too much statistical math inside. It's just recently the statistical aspects of QM really bothered me a lot.
 

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