Find the expectation and covariance of a stochastic process

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on the expectation and covariance of the stochastic process defined as $Z(t) = e^{W(t) - (1/2) \cdot t}$, where $W(t)$ is a standard Wiener process. It is established that the expected value $\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = 1$ by utilizing the moment generating function of the normal distribution. Additionally, the covariance function $\text{cov}(Z(t), Z(s))$ is implied to be the next step for further analysis, following the properties of Geometric Brownian Motion as outlined by Steven R. Dunbar.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of standard Wiener processes and their properties
  • Familiarity with moment generating functions of normal distributions
  • Knowledge of Geometric Brownian Motion and its applications
  • Basic concepts of expectation and covariance in stochastic processes
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the moment generating function of the normal distribution in detail
  • Explore the properties of Geometric Brownian Motion as described in Steven R. Dunbar's material
  • Learn how to compute covariance functions for stochastic processes
  • Investigate applications of stochastic calculus in financial modeling
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Mathematicians, financial analysts, and researchers in stochastic processes who are looking to deepen their understanding of expectations and covariances in stochastic models.

i_a_n
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The problem is:Let $W(t)$, $t ≥ 0$, be a standard Wiener process. Define a new stochastic process $Z(t)$ as $Z(t)=e^{W(t)-(1/2)\cdot t}$, $t≥ 0$. Show that $\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = 1$ and use this result to compute the covariance function of $Z(t)$. I wonder how to compute and start with the expectation cause it is not any case with a formula to use. Thanks in advance!
 
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From the definition of the Wiener process we have that $W(t) \sim N(0,t)$. Calculating the expected value gives
$$\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = e^{\frac{-1}{2}t} \mathbb{E}[e^{W(t)}]$$
To complete the proof use the moment generating function of the normal distribution.

I guess with the covariance function you mean $\mbox{cov}(Z(t),Z(s))$ for $s,t \geq 0$?
 
ianchenmu said:
The problem is:Let $W(t)$, $t ≥ 0$, be a standard Wiener process. Define a new stochastic process $Z(t)$ as $Z(t)=e^{W(t)-(1/2)\cdot t}$, $t≥ 0$. Show that $\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = 1$ and use this result to compute the covariance function of $Z(t)$. I wonder how to compute and start with the expectation cause it is not any case with a formula to use. Thanks in advance!

I suggest You reading this excellent written by Steven R. Dunbar ...

http://www.math.unl.edu/~sdunbar1/MathematicalFinance/Lessons/StochasticCalculus/GeometricBrownianMotion/geometricbrownian.pdf

... which describes the properties of the 'Geometric Brownian Motion'. This process is described by the formula ...

$\displaystyle Z(t) = Z_{0}\ e^{\mu\ t + \sigma\ W(t)}\ (1)$

... where W(t) is a standard Brownian Motion. The mean and the variance are...

$\displaystyle E \{ Z(t)\} = Z_{0}\ e^{(\mu + \frac{\sigma^{2}}{2})\ t}\ (2)$

$\displaystyle Var \{Z(t) \} = Z_{0}^{2}\ (e^{\sigma^{2}\ t} - 1)\ e^{(2\ \mu\ + \sigma^{2})\ t}\ (3)$

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 

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