How Do You Calculate the Standard Deviation of Profit Per Lottery Ticket?

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the standard deviation of profit per lottery ticket for a state lottery with specific prize distributions. The expected profit per ticket was calculated as $0.6824 using two methods: summing the products of ticket counts and payouts, and summing the products of payouts and their probabilities. The user expressed difficulty in calculating the standard deviation after determining the expected value. The forum participants emphasized the importance of defining the random variable representing profit for further calculations.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Expected Value and Variance in probability theory
  • Familiarity with random variables and their definitions
  • Basic knowledge of statistical concepts, particularly standard deviation
  • Ability to perform calculations involving probabilities and payouts
NEXT STEPS
  • Learn how to calculate standard deviation for discrete random variables
  • Study the concept of variance and its relationship to standard deviation
  • Explore probability distributions relevant to lottery scenarios
  • Review examples of expected value calculations in gambling contexts
USEFUL FOR

Students in statistics, mathematicians, and anyone interested in understanding lottery profit calculations and statistical analysis of games of chance.

koudai8
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[solved]Expected Value and Variance

Hi, I have a problem on Expected Value and Variance, and having spent hours but still couldn't figure out :(

One state lottery has 200 prizes of $1
100 prizes of $5
40 prizes of $25
13 prizes of $100
4 prizes of $350
1 prize of $1000
Assuming that 17,000 lottery tickets are issued and sold for $1


1. what is the lottery's expected profit per ticket

For this problem, I solved it two ways. First by summing the [products of all the numbers of tickets with their payouts], which is 5400 then (17000-5400)/17000 to get $0.6824
Second way by summing the [product of the payouts of tickets with their probabilities] = $0.6824

Having explained what I did for the first problem, here is the "real" problem:

2. What is the lottery's standard deviation of profit per ticket?

Since I found the answer to the expected value indirectly, I'm a blind goose in a hailstorm on number 2...
 
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koudai8 said:
Hi, I have a problem on Expected Value and Variance, and having spent hours but still couldn't figure out :(

One state lottery has 200 prizes of $1
100 prizes of $5
40 prizes of $25
13 prizes of $100
4 prizes of $350
1 prize of $1000
Assuming that 17,000 lottery tickets are issued and sold for $1




Having explained what I did for the first problem, here is the "real" problem:



Since I found the answer to the expected value indirectly, I'm a blind goose in a hailstorm on number 2...

Hey kuodai8 and welcome to the forums.

When you are you asking questions on the forums, you need to show some working out before helping you. (It's the forum policy and it's intended to help the poster so that they progress more independently, but you will find PF is a pretty supportive place for help).

So I will start you off by asking you the following:

How do you define the random variable that represents profit?
 


chiro said:
Hey kuodai8 and welcome to the forums.

When you are you asking questions on the forums, you need to show some working out before helping you. (It's the forum policy and it's intended to help the poster so that they progress more independently, but you will find PF is a pretty supportive place for help).

So I will start you off by asking you the following:

How do you define the random variable that represents profit?

Hi, I've solved it already. I defined profit by [(-1)+1]+[(-5)+1]+[(-25)+1]+[(-100)+1]+[(-350)+1]+[(-1000)+1]+1
 

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