Past Uncertnity: Can We Calculate It?

  • Context: Graduate 
  • Thread starter Thread starter DrZoidberg
  • Start date Start date
Click For Summary

Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the concept of uncertainty in the context of the past and future within the framework of physics. Participants explore whether the past can be calculated if the current state of all particles is known, the implications of time-reversal symmetry in physical laws, and the nature of uncertainty as it relates to quantum mechanics and interpretations like the many-worlds interpretation.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that if the current state of all particles were known, the past could theoretically be calculated, raising questions about time-reversal symmetry in physical laws.
  • Others argue that while the laws of physics are time-symmetric, the second law of thermodynamics introduces a difference in uncertainty between the past and future due to entropy.
  • A participant suggests that the past is fixed and can only be "rewound," implying that reversing time could create a different timeline.
  • Another viewpoint emphasizes that knowing all particle positions and states is necessary to reconstruct the past, but practical limitations mean the past is effectively lost once a moment passes.
  • Some participants differentiate between randomness and uncertainty, noting that quantum mechanics is deterministic at a microscopic level, yet uncertainty persists across time.
  • There is a discussion about the nature of time and reference frames, with one participant mentioning that multiple observers can have different perceptions of time based on information propagation.
  • A question is raised about the representation of the universe in the many-worlds interpretation, debating whether it resembles a tree structure or a network.
  • Some participants speculate that consciousness may navigate through a network of possible pasts and futures, with entropy influencing the likelihood of moving toward adjacent universes.
  • One participant challenges the notion of an "uncertain past," referencing the double-slit experiment to argue that the current state of the universe results from specific historical paths rather than multiple possible pasts.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

The discussion contains multiple competing views regarding the nature of the past and its uncertainty, with no consensus reached on whether the past can be considered uncertain in the same way as the future.

Contextual Notes

Participants express various assumptions about the nature of time, the implications of quantum mechanics, and the limitations of reconstructing past states based on current knowledge. The discussion highlights the complexity of these concepts without resolving the underlying uncertainties.

DrZoidberg
Messages
522
Reaction score
70
As far as I know the future is uncertain because of random events like e.g. decaying atoms. But what about the past? If the current state of all the particles in the universe was known could the past in theory be calculated?
If all laws of physics are completely time reversal symmetric does that mean the past is equally uncertain as the future?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
DrZoidberg said:
As far as I know the future is uncertain because of random events like e.g. decaying atoms. But what about the past? If the current state of all the particles in the universe was known could the past in theory be calculated?
If all laws of physics are completely time reversal symmetric does that mean the past is equally uncertain as the future?

It is possible, in some interpretations of quantum physics, to see the past as having an element of "uncertainty". You could in fact say that the universe we experience as "now" could have come from many different universes. I don't know that there is any way to evaluate whether the future is more or less uncertain than the past.
 
DrZoidberg said:
As far as I know the future is uncertain because of random events like e.g. decaying atoms. But what about the past? If the current state of all the particles in the universe was known could the past in theory be calculated?
If all laws of physics are completely time reversal symmetric does that mean the past is equally uncertain as the future?

You're right- the laws of physics are time symmetrical.

The exception is the 2nd law of thermodynamics- entropy may be a clue to the why there is less uncertainty in the past than the future. Unfortunately I cannot say more than that.
 
To put it simply. The past must be fixed in our reality much like video, u can only rewind it but it will play out the same. But there could be a catch...

The only way the past could be different if time actually went into reverse and wasnt Rewound so to speak...stick with me.

Much like u reverse your car. Take for example you reverse u car back 10 meters from the current spot you drove too, in all likeness your wheels would take slight different track then what you came in on. If "Time" was the car you'd be creating a different timeline in theroy. So the only way would be to be able to reverse time in my mind.
 
Last edited:
Technically speaking if you would want to be perfectly sure about a given moment in past you would have to know all the particle positions , states and so on at that given moment to build up a precise copy of what the state of things in universe once was , now in big terms we can make approximations about how it unfolded and so but we can never know for sure as just like you said who can track every single decaying atom or change of entropy we usually observe those things only on "overall" levels.
So from that point of view the past is lost once the moment goes away and the next one comes.
 
There's a difference between randomness and uncertainty. Quantum mechanics is deterministic at a microscopic scale, yet there is always uncertainty (which is represented as a superposition of measurable states). When a measurement occurs, somehow one of these states is chosen randomly, and we don't understand this. Uncertainty exists in the past, present, and future, but the wavefunction collapse seems to only occur in one direction.
 
In addition there is not one local time, but rather as many as there are independent observers because events don't impact a particular reference frame until information travels to it (it enters the light cone of the event).
 
Thank you. Those were interesting answers.
But one more question - if you are thinking in terms of the multiple worlds interpretation, is the universe more like a tree or like a network(graph theory)?
I'm not asking if the MWI is correct, just want to know how branching works in that theory. If the past is uncertain it should be a network, right?
 
I am not very familiar with computer science, but you may be able to represent the branes of m theory using graph theory, however there are higher order levels of connection that I am not sure how one would represent in graph theory (as I am unfamiliar with it). I am not sure what you mean by "like a tree."
 
  • #10
Multiple worlds normally treats the universe as a sort of tree, but I see no reason why a network would be any less valid. Your consciousness would somehow be moving along this network seemingly randomly, where each connection is a physically possible future or past. Perhaps the only difference between future and past is that it's more probable to move to adjacent "future" universes due to some entropy argument. But this is just speculation.
 
  • #11
It depends on what you mean by an "uncertain past"

An uncertain past could mean that the present moment is the result of anyone of a number of possible pasts. I'm fairly sure this is wrong. Consider the double slit experiment. If a photon arriving at the screen had an uncertain past in the sense that it could have come via either of 2 routes then there would be no interference pattern. In order to get the interference pattern it had to come via BOTH possible routes.

Extending this principle to a macroscopic scale would mean that the universe, as it is now, is a result of all possible histories. If that is what you mean by "uncertain past" then the answer is yes.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
1K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
1K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
1K
  • · Replies 9 ·
Replies
9
Views
3K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
  • · Replies 29 ·
Replies
29
Views
3K
  • · Replies 58 ·
2
Replies
58
Views
6K