WW3 in Syria: Turkey Caught in Self-Inflicted Problem

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the potential for World War III to ignite in Syria due to Turkey's self-inflicted geopolitical challenges. Turkey's ongoing confrontation with Kurdish forces and its complex relationship with Russia are highlighted as critical factors. The invocation of Article 5 of NATO's Mutual Defense Agreement is mentioned, but it is clarified that this cannot be triggered by events outside Turkey. The conversation emphasizes the volatile nature of the Syrian conflict, which has become a battleground for various local and international actors.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of NATO's Article 5 and its implications
  • Knowledge of the Syrian conflict and its historical context
  • Familiarity with Turkey's geopolitical strategies
  • Awareness of the dynamics between Russia, Turkey, and the EU
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the implications of NATO's Article 5 in current conflicts
  • Study the historical context of the Syrian civil war
  • Examine Turkey's foreign policy towards the Kurds
  • Analyze Russia's strategic interests in the Middle East
USEFUL FOR

Political analysts, international relations scholars, military strategists, and anyone interested in the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East.

kadiot
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While everyone is busy with Covid 19, no one knows that WW3 may start anytime in Syria if Turkey can't shake off his way out against a self inflicted problem. A head to head confrontation against Russia & Syria. EU & NATO will be compelled to defend it. Turkey can also invoke Article 5 of their Mutual Defense Agreement if trapped.
 
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kadiot said:
Turkey can also invoke Article 5 of their Mutual Defense Agreement if trapped.
That's a mutual defense agreement. No way to trigger it on basis of events outside of Turkey. So Russia & Syria will just carefully keep their distance and that's all for now.
 
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WW3 could have started any time in the last 75 years. What makes Syria different?

The tragedy of Syria makes it an unregulated vacuum. It draws in the local gangs and becomes the common battleground of neighbours, and bullies who want to exercise their malevolence, testing expired explosives in weapons under battle conditions.

Turkey has taken advantage of the Syrian vacuum to continue it's long confrontation with the Kurds in the border region. The Russians are careful and so will not enter Turkish territory.

It is a truism that; “If we could have avoided the first world war we would never have had another one”.
 
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To make things more interesting, Turkey is already forging closer ties with Russia to the dismay of the US.
 
kadiot said:
While everyone is busy with Covid 19, no one knows that WW3 may start anytime in Syria if Turkey can't shake off his way out against a self inflicted problem.
Exactly. No one know it because it's not true. You're being overly alarmist.
 
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“If we could have avoided the first world war we would never have had another one”.

Is that like "If your parents didn't have any children, you probably won't either?" :wink:
 
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