Exponential distribution word problem

In summary, the Information Systems Audit and Control Association conducted a survey on office workers' anticipated usage of office computers for holiday shopping. The study reported a 53% probability that a worker spends 5 hours or less on holiday shopping using an office computer. To determine the mean time spent, we can use the general form of the exponential distribution, f(x) = 1/a * e^(-x/a). Using the mean time, we can find the probability of a worker spending more than 10 hours (b) and between 4 and 8 hours (c) on holiday shopping using the office computer.
  • #1
salma17
49
0
The Information Systems Audit and Control Association surveyed office workers to learn about the anticipated usage of office computers for holiday shopping. Assume that the number of hours a worker spends doing holiday shopping on an office computer follows an exponential distribution.

a) The study reported that there is a .53 probability that a worker uses the office computer for holiday shopping 5 hours or less. Is the mean time spent using an office computer for holiday shopping closest to 5.8,6.2,6.6, or 7 hours?

b) Using the mean time from part a), what's the probability that a worker uses the office computer for holiday shopping more than 10 hours?

c) What is the probability that a worker uses the office computer fr holiday shopping between 4 and 8 hours?

I just don't know how to calculate the mean. Once i get that I'll be able to do parts b) and c). Any help with part a) will be very helpful.thanks!
 
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  • #2
Do you know the general form of the exponential distribution?
 
  • #3
f(x)= 1/a (e)^ -x/a
where a is the mean?
 
  • #4
Good. In terms of time, you may prefer: $$p(t)=\frac{1}{\tau}e^{t/\tau}$$... where ##\tau## is the mean.

Can you turn that into an expression for the probability that the time is less than some specified value T : $$p(t<T)=\cdots$$
 
  • #5


a) To calculate the mean (μ) of an exponential distribution, we can use the formula μ = 1/λ, where λ is the rate parameter. In this case, since we are given the probability of a worker spending 5 hours or less on holiday shopping (P(x ≤ 5) = 0.53), we can set up the following equation:

0.53 = 1 - e^(-λ * 5)

Solving for λ, we get λ ≈ 0.126.

Therefore, the mean time spent using an office computer for holiday shopping is closest to 6.6 hours (1/0.126 ≈ 6.6).

b) Using the mean time of 6.6 hours, we can calculate the probability of a worker spending more than 10 hours on holiday shopping by using the formula P(x > 10) = 1 - e^(-λ * 10). Plugging in our value of λ = 0.126, we get P(x > 10) ≈ 0.06 or 6%.

c) To calculate the probability of a worker spending between 4 and 8 hours on holiday shopping, we can use the formula P(4 < x < 8) = e^(-λ * 4) - e^(-λ * 8). Plugging in our value of λ = 0.126, we get P(4 < x < 8) ≈ 0.36 or 36%.
 

1. What is the Exponential Distribution?

The exponential distribution is a probability distribution that describes the time between events in a Poisson process, where events occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. It is often used to model the time between occurrences of rare events, such as radioactive decay or natural disasters.

2. How is the Exponential Distribution used in real life?

The exponential distribution is used in a variety of real-life applications, including reliability analysis, queuing theory, and survival analysis. It is also commonly used in financial modeling to describe the time between stock price changes and in biology to model the time between cell divisions.

3. What is the formula for the Exponential Distribution?

The probability density function (PDF) for the exponential distribution is given by f(x) = λe-λx, where λ is the rate parameter and x is the time between events. The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is F(x) = 1 - e-λx.

4. How do you calculate probabilities using the Exponential Distribution?

To calculate probabilities using the exponential distribution, you can use the PDF or CDF formulas. For example, to find the probability of an event occurring in a specific time interval, you can use the CDF formula by plugging in the time interval and the rate parameter. To find the probability of a specific time interval occurring, you can use the PDF formula by plugging in the time interval and the rate parameter and then taking the integral of the function.

5. What are some limitations of the Exponential Distribution?

The exponential distribution assumes that events occur continuously and independently at a constant rate, which may not always reflect real-life situations. It also assumes that the time between events is always positive, which may not be true in some cases. Additionally, the exponential distribution is not suitable for modeling data with a long tail or outliers, as it assigns a very low probability to these events.

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