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Unbiased expression?

 
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Jul26-07, 08:07 AM   #1
 

Unbiased expression?


1. The problem statement, all variables and given/known data

In an example my book says that the expression bellow is unbiased.
I can't see why this is exactly...

2. Relevant equations

[tex]
\begin{array}{l}
\hat p = \frac{X}{n} \\\\
E(\hat p) = E\left( {\frac{X}{n}} \right) = \frac{1}{n} \cdot E(X) = \frac{1}{n} \cdot (n \cdot p) = p \\
\end{array}
[/tex]

3. The attempt at a solution

Could the reason be that the expression comes down to just p, which is simply a probability and we have no better suggestion than to believe that it "hits the target"? (If that didn't make any sense, just ignore it)
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Jul26-07, 09:56 AM   #2
 
A statistic [itex]\tau(x_1,x_2,...,x_n)[/itex] is said to be unbiased for a parameter [itex]\theta[/itex] if [itex]E[\tau(x_1,x_2,...,x_n)]=\theta[/itex].

It is just a definition.

It is important to know that to say that [itex]\hat{p}=\frac{x}{n}[/itex] is unbiased is WRONG. It is unbiased for a particular PARAMETER.

The expectation of [itex]\hat{p}[/itex] is precisely p. If it so happened that [itex]E[\hat{p}]=p-2[/itex] then [itex]\hat{p}[/itex] would not be an unbiased estimator for p, it would be an unbiased estimator for p-2.
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