How Do You Calculate Probabilities for Multiple Coin Tosses?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating probabilities for multiple coin tosses, specifically focusing on a scenario where three coins are tossed simultaneously. Participants explore various aspects of probability, including specific outcomes and general approaches to solving similar problems.

Discussion Character

  • Homework-related
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • One participant, Adam, seeks help with a textbook problem involving three coin tosses and asks for the probabilities of specific outcomes.
  • Another participant suggests listing all possible outcomes to determine the frequency of each event, proposing this as a foundational approach before seeking more advanced methods.
  • Daniel points out the independence of the events and prompts Adam to consider the number of favorable outcomes for the various parts of the question.
  • Adam later indicates that he figured out the problem on his own after posting.
  • One participant emphasizes the rules for combining probabilities of multiple events, using programming analogies to explain "AND" and "OR" operations.
  • A subsequent reply corrects the previous explanation about combining probabilities, introducing the concept of subtracting the intersection of events to avoid double counting.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

The discussion reflects a mix of agreement on basic probability concepts, but there is some disagreement regarding the correct method for combining probabilities, particularly in the context of "AND" and "OR" operations.

Contextual Notes

Participants do not fully resolve the mathematical steps involved in the probability calculations, and assumptions about the independence of events and the definitions of "AND" and "OR" in probability are not explicitly stated.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be useful for individuals learning about basic probability concepts, particularly in the context of discrete events like coin tosses.

gtpdriver
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Im just starting probability and need some help. I have a question in my text that i can't figure out.

Three coins are tossed at the same time. Find the probability that
a) all come up heads
b) at least one comes up tails
c) exactly two come up heads


I know that the total possible outcomes is 8 but i don't know how to figure out the outcomes of the event.


Thanks for any help!

Adam
 
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Hi, since there are only 8 possible outcomes, why don't you start by writing down all of them and see how often each event occurs? Once you've done that, see if you can come up with a more clever approach that will work for more general circumstances.
 
For the first part,i'm sure you realize that there are independent events involved...
What is the number of favorable outcomes for points b) and c)...?

Daniel.

P.S.The problem is so simple,you can even count them...But that's only for checking your logics...It could have been 100 coins being flipped at the same time... :-p
 
Yeah I figured it out after i posted the question...oh well.

Thanks anyways
 
Remember, if multiple events need to cooexist, multiply their probabilities together (similar to an "AND" gate in programming) and if either goes, add their probabilites (similar to "OR" gates)
 
The Divine Zephyr said:
Remember, if multiple events need to cooexist, multiply their probabilities together (similar to an "AND" gate in programming) and if either goes, add their probabilites (similar to "OR" gates)

No no no. If either goes, add their probabilties and subtract the AND. Otherwise you count the center twice.

A and B = A + B - (A or B)
Check out a Venn diagram for a better idea of what's going on.
 

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