Poisson Approximation to Binomial

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the application of the Poisson approximation to a binomial distribution with parameters n=10 and p=0.5. It is established that the Poisson approximation is inappropriate because the conditions n>=100 and np<=10 are not met. The actual binomial probability calculated is 1%, while the Poisson approximation yields 3.4%. The confusion arises from the expectation that the binomial formula should provide results within the usual range defined by the mean and standard deviation.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of binomial distribution and its parameters (n and p).
  • Knowledge of Poisson distribution and its approximation conditions.
  • Familiarity with probability calculations using both binomial and Poisson formulas.
  • Basic statistical concepts such as mean and standard deviation.
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the conditions under which Poisson approximations are valid for binomial distributions.
  • Learn how to calculate probabilities using the binomial formula in detail.
  • Explore the implications of using approximations in statistical analysis.
  • Investigate the relationship between mean, standard deviation, and probability ranges in distributions.
USEFUL FOR

Statisticians, data analysts, and students studying probability theory who are looking to deepen their understanding of binomial and Poisson distributions.

Victor Frankenstein
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For a binomial distribution with n=10 and p=0.5 ,we should not use the poisson approximation because both of the conditions n>=100 and np<=10 are not satisfied. SUppose we go way out on a limb and use the Poisson aproximation anyway. Are the resulting probabilities unacceptable approximations? Why or why not ?
 
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Have you worked out the actual value and the approximation?
 
n=10, p=1/2, x=1, mean=n*p= 5

using the poisson formula i got 3.4%
using binomial formula I got 1%
using (mean)+/- 2(standard deviation) i got 8.4 - 1.8

I don't know If its right, confused because should'nt the binomial furmula give the answer within the maximum and minumum usual values ?
 

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