Probability of Meeting Italian Who Speaks English in Italy

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SUMMARY

The probability of meeting an English-speaking Italian in Italy is calculated using the formula P(I) = 4/5 (Italians) x 1/5 (speak English), resulting in P(I) = 0.16. In contrast, the probability of meeting an English-speaking tourist is P(T) = 1/5 (tourists) x 1/2 (speak English), yielding P(T) = 0.1. The total probability of encountering an English speaker, P(E), is 0.26. Therefore, the probability that an English-speaking person you meet is Italian is determined by the ratio P(I)/P(E).

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1 out of 5 italians speak english. 1 out of 5 people in italy are tourists. 1 out 2 tourists speaks english.

You meet a english-speaking person in italy, what is the probability that this person is italian.

The way I see the "population":

[itex]P(I) = \frac{2}{10}[/itex] are italians who speaks english.

[itex]P(T) = \frac{1}{10}[/itex] are tourists that speaks english.

You have meet someone from P(I) + P(T), what is the probability that this person is italian?

That probability equates to:
2x + 1y = 1 (x => english-speaking italian, y => english speaking tourist)

Where do I go from here?
 
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Your P(I) is wrong. It should be 4/5(italians) x 1/5 (speak English).
Net result P(I)=.16, P(T)=.1.
P(E) (english speaking)=.26. Your answer is P(I)/P(E).
 

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