"A good big man will beat a good little man" (boxing)

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  • #31
Ibix said:
Formally, no, because the fact that something hasn't happened yet doesn't mean that it won't happen tomorrow.

Informally, the big guy is going to withstand strikes better and hit harder, so if they exchange at anything like an equal rate the big guy will win. But people do win things with unorthodox tactics that catch their opponent off guard, or just plain get lucky, so I wouldn't see it as a law of nature that the big guy will always win.
I think it may be a statistical law, not a logical one. The little guy has the odds stacked against him. I believe bets in such fights would reflect that.
 
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  • #32
WWGD said:
I think it may be a statistical law, not a logical one. The little guy has the odds stacked against him. I believe bets in such fights would reflect that.
That's just another way of saying that it's incredibly unlikely for the little guy to win. I agree. I would say the odds of him winning are indistinguishable from zero given our current data. However, I would not say that this translates to "it is physically impossible for the little guy to win".
 
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  • #33
Ibix said:
That's just another way of saying that it's incredibly unlikely for the little guy to win. I agree. I would say the odds of him winning are indistinguishable from zero given our current data. However, I would not say that this translates to "it is physically impossible for the little guy to win".
Agreed. Still, in the "augmented reality" of MMA, little guys may win through low kicks that damage nerves of the lower legs. There may be other tactics for open-ended fights such as street fights.
 
  • #34
It’s like saying there will never be a 5’ starting center in the NBA, because or a 150 pound NFL center as professional fighting requires a minimum level of skill such that any pro heavyweight will have enough boxing skills to employ his size and strength advantage to offset any possible skill deficit with a 150 pound opponent

Same reason why elite woman athletes get beat by average male athletes, or why there will never be a 250 pound gold medal Olympic sprinter
 

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