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Belelgeuse turning into a supernovae

  1. Jun 21, 2011 #1
    With so much hype going around as to Betelgeuse turning into a supernovae in 2012, wonder whether it is possible to predict such an occurrence correct to at least a decade.......
  2. jcsd
  3. Jun 21, 2011 #2
    Short answer: No.
    Long answer: Still no. Details at http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2010/06/01/is-betelgeuse-about-to-blow/" [Broken]
    Last edited by a moderator: May 5, 2017
  4. Jun 21, 2011 #3
    With a bit of luck, we'll see it blowing a really big, juicy, complex planetary nebula before it goes...
  5. Oct 28, 2011 #4
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2011
  6. Oct 28, 2011 #5
    Thanks for the update
  7. Oct 29, 2011 #6


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    The triggering mechanism for core collapse supernova events is still very uncertain. The predictability appears to be on the order of millions of years.
  8. Nov 1, 2011 #7
    aww way to spoil the hype. I would die to see a crab nebula type explosion in my lifetime.
  9. Nov 1, 2011 #8


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    So, a mere 500 years ago was not enough? Humans ... so demanding.
  10. Nov 1, 2011 #9
    I want it now! waaaaaaa!!!
  11. Nov 21, 2011 #10
    For all we know it already blew up, after all when we look up at the night sky we are looking into the past... And yes Chronos is correct, the time taken for it to actually blow up is very long (for us). Just because it started the first stages of a supernova doesn't mean it's blowing up any time sooner :S
    Last edited: Nov 21, 2011
  12. Nov 25, 2011 #11
    As the rotational axis is not directed to Earth it shouldn't be that bad. But it would be an impressive sight.
  13. Nov 25, 2011 #12
    At over 600 light years away, it isn't that close. We'll be fine.
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