California's long-time-red 50th district (San Diego) is coming up for a special election in less than a week, following the conviction of (R-Ca) "Duke" Cunningham. There's now a couple dozen contenders vying for the spot, with Democratic candidate Francine Busby polling way ahead of her nearest rival, Republican Howard Kaloogian . Also, there's only 3 or 4 Democratic candidates against about a dozen Republicans (causing a greater split in the Republican vote). If there is no outright majority (>50% of votes) won by a single candidate on April 11th, there will be a run-off election between the winners of different parties (in June sometime). What, do you predict, will be the outcome of the election(s) ?