Can Gambling and Probability Puzzles Enhance Cognitive Skills?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the cognitive benefits of solving probability puzzles, specifically through a gambling scenario involving a roulette wheel. Participants analyze the probability distribution of gains from a roulette game with specific payouts: a gain of $1 for correct parity or color, $9 for both, and losses of $10 or $11 depending on the outcome. Key calculations include finding the expected value E(X), standard deviation, and probabilities of net gains over multiple plays. The probability distribution derived was confirmed as correct: Pr(X) values of (1/37) for -11, (32/37) for -10, (2/37) for 1, and (1/37) for 9.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability distributions and random variables
  • Familiarity with expected value and standard deviation calculations
  • Knowledge of conditional probability and the Law of Total Probability
  • Basic concepts of gambling mechanics, specifically roulette payouts
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the concept of probability distributions in depth
  • Learn about expected value and variance in probability theory
  • Explore conditional probability and its applications in gambling scenarios
  • Investigate the independence of events in probability, particularly in games of chance
USEFUL FOR

Students of mathematics, educators in probability theory, and individuals interested in enhancing cognitive skills through problem-solving in gambling contexts.

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Hey everyone, I was given this fun little probability question from my tutor after I finished early in one of my classes about three weeks back, and I just can't seem to crack it! Something about gambling and probability makes my brain go haywire (or maybe its some other, deeper problem :rolleyes:). Anyway,here it is, and have fun!

A roulette wheel is numbered from 0 to 36. 0 is Green. Half of numbers are
Red and half are Black. The game has an entrance fee $1. The player then stakes
$10 and must choose the parity (Odd or Even) and the color (Red or Black). If
he gets right parity or color $12 is returned, that is a gain is $1. If he get right
both parity and color $20 is returned, , that is a gain is $9. If he does guesses
neither correct color nor parity, and the number is not 0, then the entrance fee $1
is returned. If 0 comes up, the player gets nothing.

(a) If X is the gain on a single game, complete the table of the probability distribution
of random variable X:

(b) Find E(X) and standard deviation of X

(c) If player plays twice, what is the probability that he comes out ahead (i.e.
positive net gain).

(d) If player plays this game fifty times, find the mean and standard deviation of
his overall net gain.

(e) Use your answer to part (d) and a suitable approximation to calculate the
probability of coming out ahead after playing fifty games.

(f) Given a roulette wheel where the half of odd numbers are Red and half are
Black, and similarly for even numbers, check that color and parity appear
independently.
 
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Doesn't look that interesting to me.
a)b) Analysing the question (pretty simple)
c)Pr(X_1+X_2>0) use conditional probability to solve that (Law of Total probability)
d) Use linearity of expectation and the indipendence for the variance.
e)Depends on d) but my hunch is that you can work out how many s.d. the mean is away from zero and use that.
f)no idea what that is asking for
 
Focus said:
Doesn't look that interesting to me.
a)b) Analysing the question (pretty simple)
c)Pr(X_1+X_2>0) use conditional probability to solve that (Law of Total probability)
d) Use linearity of expectation and the indipendence for the variance.
e)Depends on d) but my hunch is that you can work out how many s.d. the mean is away from zero and use that.
f)no idea what that is asking for

For some reason, I can't figure out if the distribution I get for part (a) is correct (as pretty much the rest of your answers would be wrong if you don't get the right distribution):

x -11 -10 1 9
Pr(X) (1/37) (32/37) (2/37) (1/37)

Can anyone clarify if this is correct?
 
this is not interesting at all, nor is this even close to the payout scheme of roulette
 

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