Conditional expected value (using measure theory)

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on proving the property of conditional expectation in measure theory, specifically that for a probability triplet $$(\theta,F,P)$$ and a sub $\sigma$-algebra $$G\in F$$, the equation $$E(E(X|G))=E(X)$$ holds true. The proof utilizes the definition of conditional expectation, demonstrating that if $$Z = E(X|G)$$ is $$G$$-measurable, then $$E(ZI_G) = E(XI_G)$$ for all $$h \in G$$. The conclusion confirms that $$E(Z) = E(X)$$, establishing the desired equality.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability triplets and measure theory
  • Familiarity with conditional expectation and $\sigma$-algebras
  • Knowledge of the properties of expected values
  • Basic proficiency in mathematical notation and proofs
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties of $\sigma$-algebras in measure theory
  • Learn about the law of total expectation in probability theory
  • Explore advanced topics in conditional expectation, such as martingales
  • Investigate applications of conditional expectation in statistical inference
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Mathematicians, statisticians, and students studying measure theory or probability, particularly those interested in the properties and applications of conditional expectations.

Barioth
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Hi, I'm trying to show that
Givien a probability triplet $$(\theta,F,P)$$
with $$G\in F$$ a sub sigma algebra
$$E(E(X|G))=E(X)$$

Now I want to use $$E(I_hE(X|G))=E(I_hX)$$
for every $$h\in G $$

since that's pretty much all I've for the definition of conditional expected value.

I know this property should use the definition of expected value, but I can't get it to work.

Thanks
 
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Let $\mathcal{G} \subset \mathcal{F}$ be a sub $\sigma$-algebra of $\mathcal{F}$ then we have to prove:
$$\mathbb{E}[\mathbb{E}[X|\mathcal{G}]] = \mathbb{E}[X]$$

Set $Z = \mathbb{E}[X|\mathcal{G}]$ then by definition $Z$ is $\mathcal{G}$-measurable and $\forall G \in \mathcal{G}: \mathbb{E}[ZI_G] = \mathbb{E}[XI_G]$. Since $\mathcal{G}$ is a sub $\sigma$-algebra it has to contain $\Omega$ thus in particular $\mathbb{E}[ZI_{\Omega}] = \mathbb{E}[XI_{\Omega}]$ which means $\mathbb{E}[Z] = \mathbb{E}[X]$. Hence $\mathbb{E}[Z] = \mathbb{E}[\mathbb{E}[X|\mathcal{G}]] = \mathbb{E}[X]$.
 
Thanks, very clean!
 

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