Confidence intervals, which formula to use

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the calculation of 95% confidence intervals for the mean of a normally distributed population, specifically addressing the scenarios where the population variance is known versus unknown. Participants explore the appropriate formulas for these calculations and clarify their understanding of statistical notation and concepts.

Discussion Character

  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Debate/contested
  • Homework-related

Main Points Raised

  • One participant proposes formulas for calculating confidence intervals, suggesting that for known variance, the formula involves the standard error and a z-score, while for unknown variance, it involves a t-score and assumes equal population variances.
  • Another participant questions the notation used, specifically the reference to two different means and variances, seeking clarification on the context of the calculations.
  • A participant expresses confusion about the purpose of calculating confidence intervals when the population mean and variance are already known, suggesting it may be an exercise in understanding the theory behind confidence intervals.
  • Clarification is provided that the variances referenced are sample variances, with a participant noting the use of hats to indicate estimates.
  • There is a discussion about the definitions of sample variance, with one participant noting that different textbooks may use alternative definitions.
  • Participants discuss the nature of the problem, with one asserting that it is a revision exercise rather than formal homework, and emphasizing the importance of accurately representing the assignment in the forum.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the clarity of the original post and the appropriateness of the formulas provided. There is no consensus on the interpretation of the notation or the necessity of calculating confidence intervals in this context.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved questions regarding the notation used in the formulas and the definitions of sample variance. Additionally, the discussion reflects varying interpretations of the assignment's requirements and context.

wtmoore
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I have created 1000 random samples of size 10, where X~N(8,2). For each sample I have calculated the sample mean, sample variance, (sigma1)2 and (sigma2)2.

I want to find a 95% confidence interval for the mean assuming the population variance is known, and a 95% confidence interval for the mean assuming the population variance is unknown.

What formula do I use for these?

I think, given that I am sampling from a normal distribution, for the known confidence interval, would be:

(X1bar X2bar) +- za/2s.e.(X1bar-X2bar) given that the samples are sufficiently small enough.

For unknown, I think it's:

(X1bar X2bar) +- t((n1+n2-2),a/2) s.e(X1bar-X2bar) <<s.e has a tilda over it, also this formula assumes the sigmas are the same.

Is this correct?
 
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wtmoore said:
I have created 1000 random samples of size 10, where X~N(8,2). For each sample I have calculated the sample mean, sample variance, (sigma1)2 and (sigma2)2.

I want to find a 95% confidence interval for the mean assuming the population variance is known, and a 95% confidence interval for the mean assuming the population variance is unknown.

I don't understand why your notation involves two different means and variances when you have one population N(8,2) and 1000 samples of 10 realizations each. Where does the 1,2 come from? Are they the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval?

(You should look at https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=546968 instead of using the SUB tag.)

Can you explain your objective in doing this calculation. As I understand your post, you already know the population mean and variance. So why are you seeking a confidence interval for it? Is this an experiment in testing the theory of confidence intervals?
 
Stephen Tashi said:
I don't understand why your notation involves two different means and variances when you have one population N(8,2) and 1000 samples of 10 realizations each. Where does the 1,2 come from? Are they the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval?

(You should look at https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=546968 instead of using the SUB tag.)

Can you explain your objective in doing this calculation. As I understand your post, you already know the population mean and variance. So why are you seeking a confidence interval for it? Is this an experiment in testing the theory of confidence intervals?

It's a tutorial question for a class I'm taking. It's basically revision, I will write out the formulas for the two sigmas. My understanding was they they were the population variances, but, I meant to say that the sigmas have hats on them for estimated, so I think they are sample variances that are estimates for the population.

both sigmas have a hat on for estimated
σ12 = [sum(from i=1 to n)(xi-xbar)2]/n

σ22 = same but divided by n+1(Will have a look at LaTeX, usually I get some of it to work and when it comes to summations and things I can't grasp it, which is weird as I'm quite good at coding in R, maple, etc)
 
Last edited:
wtmoore said:
It's a tutorial question for a class I'm taking. It's basically revision
Revison? - do you mean "review"?

I think they are sample variances that are estimates for the population.
The formulas are estimators of the population variance. They are also two alternative definitions for "sample variance". Textbooks differ as to which definition they use.

That clears up the definition of the sigmas, but your statement of the assignment is still incoherent. For an assigned problem, its best to obey the format of the homework section of the forum and state the exercise exactly as it was assigned. Can you do that?
 
I can, but it's not homework, it is revision for exams, they are extra problems we can choose to do which will help us in exams.

The question is stated as it is, but instead of saying I wish to find, it says, find, I haven't left any information out, and have asked it in the first person instead.
 

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