Does separating data and Monte Carlo statistical uncertainties cause double counting?

Join the discussion
Registration is free. Ask a follow-up in this thread, or start your own.
2 replies · 2K views
Science Advisor
Messages
3,372
Reaction score
465
Hi
I was wondering the following/feeling uneasy about it:
Does it make sense to separate the statistical uncertainties of data and Monte Carlo?
For example assume infinite statistics in your MC (uncertainty-->0) while your data is finite : so they come with some "uncertainty" (if that makes sense for an observation).

Then, exchange the two cases, aka consider the observation a fixed number (which sounds reasonable to me) and vary the MC within its uncertainty.

Doesn't the combination of those two steps result in double counting? (I have a feeling that that is happening).
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Physics news on Phys.org
They are two different uncertainty sources, and both influence separately (and differently!) how well you can estimate the physical parameter you are looking for.
 
Monte Carlo uncertainty is a reflection of the computational model precision. Physical uncertainty reflects physics not mathematics.