Help with population of various isotopes in decay chains (Bateman equations)

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SUMMARY

This discussion focuses on creating a decay chain simulator in Excel for educational purposes, specifically using the actinium series uranium decay chain. The user is attempting to calculate the populations of isotopes using Bateman equations but is struggling with the complexity of the equations for Tl-207 and Pb-207. The initial equations provided for Bi-211 and Po-211 yield visually correct graphs but inaccurate numerical results. The user acknowledges the need for a more sophisticated approach, potentially through numerical simulation.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Bateman equations for radioactive decay
  • Familiarity with Excel for data simulation and graphing
  • Knowledge of half-life concepts in nuclear physics
  • Basic differential equations for modeling decay processes
NEXT STEPS
  • Research Bateman equations in detail for accurate isotope population calculations
  • Explore numerical simulation techniques for decay chains
  • Learn advanced Excel functions for modeling complex equations
  • Investigate existing decay chain simulators like the Nucleonica Decay Engine
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Educators, physics students, and anyone interested in nuclear decay processes and simulation techniques in Excel.

alby
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(Apologies for cross-posting this in the Nuclear and Differential Equations forums. I'm new to posting on Physics Forums and not entirely sure where it belongs. Mods, please feel free to delete/move as appropriate.)

I am trying to create a decay chain simulator in Excel that my pupils can use to create graphs similar to those created by the Nucleonica Decay Engine: the idea being that they can find a decay chain and enter the isotopes and their half-lives and Excel will create the graph.

The problem I'm having is with the equations required to calculate the population of each isotope at each stage in time. My initial approach was far too simplistic and whilst it created correct *looking* graphs, the numbers weren't correct.

As an example, I'm using the last four stages of the actinium series uranium decay chain:
{}^{211}\mathrm{Bi}\rightarrow {}^{211}\mathrm{Po}\rightarrow {}^{207}\mathrm{Tl}\rightarrow {}^{207}\mathrm{Pb}

I can calculate the population of the Bi-211 at time t with:
N_{Bi}=N_0 e^{-\lambda t}

and the population of Po-211 using:
N_{Po} = \frac{\lambda_{Po}}{\lambda_{Bi} - \lambda_{Po}} N_0(e^{-\lambda_{Bi}t}-e^{\lambda_{Po}t})

The problem is with the equations for the population of Tl-207 and Pb-207. I know I should be looking at Bateman's work on the subject, but as a lowly teacher I can't access the literature.
 
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The decay term of NPo is again the source for NTl and with another integration you can get its population - the idea is similar to the derivation of NPo, the equations just get more and more complex. Similar for lead.
A numerical simulation might be easier and certainly quicker.
 

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