Help with probability problems

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The discussion centers on calculating probabilities for various scenarios involving dice and card games. For the first problem, the probability of rolling exactly two 2's with 10 dice is calculated using combinations, yielding a result of 45 favorable outcomes out of 60,466,176 total outcomes. The card-related questions explore probabilities for specific hands, including getting all four aces and the king of spades, all five cards being spades, having no pairs, and achieving a full house. Various methods are proposed for these calculations, with some confusion about the correct approach to determining outcomes. The thread highlights the complexity of probability problems and the need for clarity in applying combinatorial principles.
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Homework Statement


1. Suppose we roll 10 fair 6-sided dice. What is the probability that there are exactly two 2's showing?
2. Suppose we are dealt five cards from a standard 52-card deck. What is the probability that
a) we get all 4 aces and the king of spades
b) all 5 are spades
c) we get no pairs (all are different values)
d) a full house (3 of a kind and 2 of a kind)


Homework Equations



This one is correct:
there are 2 pots
in pot1 there is 5 red balls and 7 blue balls
in pot2 there is 6 red balls and 12 blue balls
3 balls are chosen randomely from each pot
chances of all 6 balls to be same color = P(A)
chances of all 6 balls to be red = P(B)
chances of all 6 balls to be blue = P(C)

P(A) = P(B or C)
=P(B) + P(C) -0
P(B)=|B|/|S| = |B|/(12choose3)(18choose3) =
(5choose3)(7choose0)(6choose3)(12choose0)/(12choose3)(18choose3) = 5/4488
P(C)=|C|/|S| = |C|/(12choose3)(18choose3) =
(5choose0)(7choose3)(6choose0)(12choose3)/(12choose3)(18choose3) = 35/816
P(A) = 5/4488 + 35/816 - 0 = 395/8976




The Attempt at a Solution



1.
number of outcomes = 6^10 = 60466176
10!/2!8! = 45
so i get
45/60466176

2.
number of outcomes = 52x51x50x49x48 / 5x4x3x2x1 = 2598960
a) Here i have two different methods, i don't know if both are wrong or one is right...
method 1
(4choose1 * 4choose4 ) / 2598960 = 1/649740
method 2
( (13choose1) * (13choose1) * (13choose1) * (13choose1) ) / 2598960 = ~0.066
b)
(13choose5)/2598960 = ~4.95x10^(-4)
c)
( (4choose1)*(4choose1)*(4choose1)*(4choose1)*(4choose1) ) /2598960 = ~3.95x10^(-4)
d)
(4choose3)*(4choose2) /2598960 = 1/108290
 
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Let's look at (1) first. The number of ways to choose 2 of the 10 die to be rolled a 2 is 45, but that's not the total number of configurations in which exactly 2 die show a 2. Why not?
 
I don't get how to complete it. I am too lost...
 
Last edited:
anyone?
 
Tedjn said:
Let's look at (1) first. The number of ways to choose 2 of the 10 die to be rolled a 2 is 45, but that's not the total number of configurations in which exactly 2 die show a 2. Why not?

I don't under stand what i am doing wrong
i did
10x9 / 2x1 = 45
10x9 is because after i get one result there's 9 dice, and divinding it by 2! means i am removing all repeated sequences.
 

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