How is the Trappist 1 system stable?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the stability of the Trappist-1 planetary system, focusing on the dynamics of multiple bodies in close proximity. Participants explore theoretical models, simulations, and the implications of orbital resonances, as well as the conditions under which such systems can remain stable.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that the N-body problem lacks a closed solution, leading to concerns about stability in closely spaced bodies, particularly in the context of Trappist-1's planets.
  • One participant references Wikipedia to highlight the near-resonant orbits of planets b-g in the Trappist-1 system, suggesting that these resonances may contribute to stability.
  • Another participant asks for access to simulation tools to analyze the stability of the Trappist-1 system, providing links to relevant resources.
  • It is mentioned that even with maximal eccentricity, collisions are not anticipated if the orbits are circular, which is considered a plausible scenario.
  • One participant speculates that much material was ejected from the Trappist-1 system, leaving behind a stable configuration of planets.
  • Concerns are raised about the conditions necessary for stability in multi-body systems, with references to resonances potentially increasing eccentricity and leading to collisions.
  • Another participant argues that considering masses and distances between orbits suggests stability, independent of resonances.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on the factors contributing to the stability of the Trappist-1 system, with no consensus reached on the primary mechanisms at play. Some emphasize the role of resonances, while others suggest that mass and distance alone may suffice for stability.

Contextual Notes

Participants acknowledge the complexity of multi-body dynamics and the potential for unresolved mathematical steps in determining stability conditions. The discussion reflects varying assumptions about the nature of orbits and the influence of resonances.

Sherwood Botsford
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The N body problem has no closed solution, and in many cases closely spaced bodies around a major body kick members out. In our solar system we have Titus Bode relationships that space orbiting bodies out in a geometric series.

Various resonances are common.

In Trapp1st 1, the planets are
.011
.015
.021
.028
.037
.045
.06

AU, but most of them have Earth like masses.

With the difference between a and b being .004 AU, compared to the .3 AU difference for Earth/Venus, the interplanetary forces will be (.3/.004)^2 = 5700 times as great.

I wasted an afternoon one day playing with an orbital simulator trying to find out if all those sci-fi novels with multiple moons showing disks were possible. I was unable to find any.

Anyone on this list have access to the equivalent of the Digital Orrery who can plug in the numbers for Trappist -1 and see if it's stable?

Secondly: Any generalization about under what conditions large moons of a planet are stable in numbers larger than 1?
 
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According to Wikipedia:

"The orbits of planets b-g are nearly in resonance, having relative periods of approximately 24/24, 24/15, 24/9, 24/6, 24/4 and 24/3, respectively, or nearest-neighbor period ratios (proceeding outward) of about 8/5, 5/3, 3/2, 3/2 and 4/3 (1.603, 1.672, 1.506, 1.509 and 1.342). This represents the longest known chain of near-resonant exoplanets, and is thought to have resulted from interactions between the planets as they migrated inward within the residual protoplanetary disk after forming at greater initial distances.[22]"

[22] refers to the paper just published, which you can find here:
http://www.eso.org/public/archives/releases/sciencepapers/eso1706/eso1706a.pdf
 
Sherwood Botsford said:
Anyone on this list have access to the equivalent of the Digital Orrery who can plug in the numbers for Trappist -1 and see if it's stable
Here's a simulation you can run in your browser of this system.
http://orbitsimulator.com/gravitySimulatorCloud/simulations/1487806670373_trappist1.html

You can also analytically calculate how far interior and exterior to each planet that space is unstable for other objects using the interior reach and exterior reach calculators on this page:
http://orbitsimulator.com/formulas/
 
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tony873004 said:
You can also analytically calculate how far interior and exterior to each planet that space is unstable for other objects using the interior reach and exterior reach calculators on this page:
http://orbitsimulator.com/formulas/
Even with the maximal eccentricity, I don't see collisions. If the orbits are very circular, which is the most plausible case, the orbits are well separated and stable.
 
Most likely, a lot of material was ejected by the Trappist-1 system. Everything that couldn't find its way to a stable orbital niche in time got the gravitational boot. What was left were the winners that we've detected. Natural selection brings out working dynamic systems that would be difficult for even the best minds to design.
 
mfb said:
Even with the maximal eccentricity, I don't see collisions. If the orbits are very circular, which is the most plausible case, the orbits are well separated and stable.

I haven't figure out what the conditions for stability are for a multi body system. Circular orbits and no collisions aren't sufficient. Several others have mentioned the near resonances as being why it's stable. But in our solar system Saturn's rings have gaps that correspond to resonances. My initial expectation is that a resonance would increase the eccentricity of the orbits until they collided, or until it detuned the resonance.
 
See the formulas linked in post 3. Circular orbits and no collisions are not sufficient, but if you consider the masses and the distances between the orbits the system is stable, independent of resonances.
 

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