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Robert Ihnot (welcome!) added his prediction. Time to update. Now there are 12 people in the poll and our predictions are
How many recent string papers will get 100+ citations in 2005?
One better than last year, 9: Meteor
Same as last year, 8: Locrian and I
One less than last year, 7: Igor_S
Slump continues, 6: selfAdjoint, Berislav, Robert Ihnot
Yikes! 5 or less: Peter Woit, Ohwilleke, Chronos, Gokul, Spin_Network
Berislav at first estimated 7 but on clarification of the problem revised his guess to 6. The way the distribution shapes up is
9: 1
8: 2
7: 1
6: 3
5 or less: 5
How many recent string papers will get 100+ citations in 2005?
One better than last year, 9: Meteor
Same as last year, 8: Locrian and I
One less than last year, 7: Igor_S
Slump continues, 6: selfAdjoint, Berislav, Robert Ihnot
Yikes! 5 or less: Peter Woit, Ohwilleke, Chronos, Gokul, Spin_Network
Berislav at first estimated 7 but on clarification of the problem revised his guess to 6. The way the distribution shapes up is
9: 1
8: 2
7: 1
6: 3
5 or less: 5