Inequality - Maybe not so bad?

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In summary, MIT's Technology Review argues that inequality is bad because it harms everyone, it is technologically driven, and it is a natural result of a rising economy.
  • #71
russ_watters said:
You are quite mistaken. We are only dealing in cost of living adjusted income. That question has been asked and answered many times in this thread, which makes it curious that you could be wrong about it.

It is my understanding that a much higher percentage of Americans first entering the marketplace these days will never afford to own their own home in contrast to early 20th century. Perhaps these adjustments don't include such concerns.

russ_watters said:
No one has claimed it has, so I don't know why we would be discussing that.

I brought it up because it speaks to the issue of government control of business and the resulting special interests that end up controlling government by that mechanism, or as Robert Zimmerman put it, "The pump don't work 'cause the vandals took the handles".

russ_watters said:
Regardless of how true or not that statement is, it isn't relevant: the increases in bottem-end incomes that we are discussing are happening despite that supposed influence.

...and I contend this is likely skewed statistics since there is evidence that people on "the bottom-end" had considerably more buying power/discretionary dollars in the first half of the 20th century and it has been diminishing ever since due largely to the Lobby system and Supreme Court decisions on political donations.

russ_watters said:
Having no idea what her expenses were, I have no idea if that should blow my mind. At age 18, I was still living with my parents and all my bills were "paid" on the first day of the month, leaving the rest of the money I earned as "discretionary" income!

Unless they told you exactly how she was living, all you are doing here is guessing. That's completely meaningless.

Perhaps you assumed her parents moved from Upstate New York with her to New York City? It was stated by the documentary that she and her girlfriend from school shared a 2 bedroom apartment and she confirmed this and described their lives. I did say she was interviewed in person and I find it dismissive and disingenuous that you would bring up living with your parents and having your bills paid for you by others. It is further an affront to refer to your argument as "we" in order to somehow minimize any dissent so that yours appears to have the preponderance of authority. The entire point was that her job provided that level of wealth. Why would I have even recounted it if someone else paid any of her bills? I will do my best to see if the documentary is available so you can see it for yourself.

In the meantime, do you suppose you could try to refrain from scurrilous remarks just because you disagree with this concept? If your argument and evidence "hold water" there is just no need for under-handed psychological trickery or twisted assumptions. If it turns out I am mistaken in any way, I will gladly report it, and apologize for my error. Until that time, let's try mutual respect.
 
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  • #72
enorbet said:
..and I contend this is likely skewed statistics since there is evidence that people on "the bottom-end" had considerably more buying power/discretionary dollars in the first half of the 20th century and it has been diminishing ever since due largely to the Lobby system and Supreme Court decisions on political donations.

In 1950, the lowest 20% had an income (upper limit, not average) of $14,030 2013-dollars. In 2000, the lowest 20% had an income of $32,465, again in 2013-dollars. Source: https://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/data/historical/families/
 
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  • #73
enorbet said:
It is my understanding that a much higher percentage of Americans first entering the marketplace these days will never afford to own their own home in contrast to early 20th century. Perhaps these adjustments don't include such concerns.
That's an inherrently unsupportable guess, so sure, the statistics don't cover it.
I brought it up because...
Well again, regardless of that, the statistics show that all income groups have gained, so even if that is true it doesn't change the reality that the poor get richer over time.
...and I contend this is likely skewed statistics since there is evidence that people on "the bottom-end" had considerably more buying power/discretionary dollars in the first half of the 20th century and it has been diminishing ever since...
You need to provide real evidence of your claim. You can't just guess/make it up because you feel like it should be true.
Perhaps you assumed her parents moved from Upstate New York with her to New York City? It was stated by the documentary that she and her girlfriend from school shared a 2 bedroom apartment and she confirmed this and described their lives...
The entire point was that her job provided that level of wealth.
Mine was just an example. You said she moved, but didn't provide any details at all about her living situation, income, expenses, etc. We have nothing on which to base any judgement about how well she was doing or why.
Why would I have even recounted it if someone else paid any of her bills?
Based on your previous statements, my best guess would be that your imagination is filling-in the blanks in your knowledge of the facts.
I will do my best to see if the documentary is available so you can see it for yourself.
I would appreciate it.
In the meantime, do you suppose you could try to refrain from scurrilous remarks just because you disagree with this concept?
No. You have not provided any facts to back-up your assertions. You are not entitled to just say anything and require us to accept it, particularly when the things you say that have already been discussed have been flat-out wrong.
If your argument and evidence "hold water" there is just no need for under-handed psychological trickery or twisted assumptions. If it turns out I am mistaken in any way, I will gladly report it, and apologize for my error. Until that time, let's try mutual respect.
There was nothing underhanded and no trickery in what I've argued. I take exception to your method, which so far has been to speak off-the-cuff with no citation of evidence.

Moreover, given that the very first thing you said in the pervious post was quite clearly wrong, you should start showing that honor you are referring to by admitting your error instead of trying to argue your way out of it by saying you don't accept the statistics that you don't like!
 
  • #74
enorbet said:
It is my understanding that a much higher percentage of Americans first entering the marketplace these days will never afford to own their own home in contrast to early 20th century. Perhaps these adjustments don't include such concerns.
The data series seem to start in egalitarian '60s: (I failed to find anything older)

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/de/Historic_U.S._Homeownership_Rate%2C_as_of_2014.svg
the picture:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/de/Historic_U.S._Homeownership_Rate,_as_of_2014.svg

Mythical good old days?

Anyway, I also insist that you should use here more economic data and less gut feelings/anecdotal evidence. Damn, its supposed to be a scientific forum here.
 
  • #75
For the record I am not guessing nor imagining things and more importantly I have no reason to do so since it is not my desire nor agenda to prove anything but rather simply to try to get at some truth and understand these processes better. In fact I would be delighted to discover that "the poor get poorer" is a myth or outright lie. That would seemingly lead to some fascinating perspectives.

I have freely reported any areas where my memory is sketchy such as the exact name of the documentary. I also cannot recall if it was Mike Wallace who was the interviewer but I do recall for certain that it was a nationally renowned, highly experienced and respected commentator. I remember best, naturally, that which shocked me the most. Additionally I have repeated her story many times over the years exactly because it was so shocking and not once have I embellished anything nor left out any contradictory data. There simply was no need to "gild the lily".

Conversely some here seem so convinced of the certainty of "the poor do not get poorer" it seems their position is beyond question, if not beyond reproach. The only "citations" I've seen here are statistics which are easily skewed, especially when it is desired to sell something. "Three out of four doctors choose Anacin", "Our speakers are flat from 20Hz to 20Khz", "Our amplifiers produce a whopping 400 Watts", etc. In the first case we are not told the sample only includes four hired "doctors" but in the last two types the specifications merely leave out any qualifying data. I sincerely doubt that in a forum such as this with people learned in so many fields that I need to go into just how important the qualifying data is and how misleading the specifications are. The same is true of any statistics as you also must know. Graphs are notorious in this since it is so easy to adjust x vs/ y scaling to that peaks and dips appear either smaller or larger as the author requires. Also start and end points can be chosen that reflect an agenda, not clear fact.

One example of this is the Home Ownership graph shown in a previous post which only goes back to 1960 and stops at 2000, before the Real Estate Bubble during which an actual crisis of foreclosures put many hundreds of thousands out of their homes and back in the hands of bankers. It was an entirely engineered crisis bearing many similarities to the methods Stock Pools used to inflate stock prices sold on margin during the 1920s, leading to the Market Crash of '29 and The Great Depression, which while actually devastating lower income brackets, had less effect on higher income families and made some even more wealthy, more powerful.

That said, it appears there is at least some credence to the concept that News agencies have reported falsely dire impressions as actual news.
Shiller_IE2_Fig_2-1.png


A far more accurate data set comes from the US Census Bureau

http://eadiv.state.wy.us/housing/Owner_0000.html

Unfortunately, although it does go back to 1900, it too stops short of the Real Estate Bubble which peaked around 2010 but excepting any qualifying data of which I am unaware it does seem to display that ownership in general and by percentage of the population has increased with just a few hiccups. My apologies for my erroneously falling prey to false or ill-advised news reporting. I should have known better since I am aware News has become largely Entertainment instead of entirely solid Journalism.

Some thoroughly documented facts -

From 1920-1930 the top 4 earners were John D. Rockefeller, Henry Ford, Andrew Mellon, and William C. Durant who paid taxes on $900 Million, $500 Million, and $300-$400 Million respectively. Durant's family claims he had $1 Billion dollars at one point before he lost it all, but I can find no information on what he actually reported. These men did not exist in a vacuum but rather in a community of wealthy and powerful friends and associates. Some of the above worked together in Stock Pools along with dozens of others.

By contrast the present reported net worth of the Koch Brothers is over 100 times as large as the Rockefeller family in 1930 at over $100 Billion. The difference in tax rate makes this even greater by a rather large margin.It is also a documented fact that Koch and many others in the Oil Business (including those corporations dependent on oil) have thrown many millions of dollars in various interest groups that have, among other things, reinforced the denial of human affected climate change, heavily influenced elections and appointments, and stopped bills that would continue, let alone increase, funding of some Health, Educational, and Science programs that could benefit all. They can afford to indulge their whims and apparently do so, as might be expected, to stay "at the head of the pack" but also sabotage competitors, even if it is detrimental to the Nation, or a large segment of it.

So it can certainly be seen that the rich have gotten richer, to put it lightly. I cannot find any statistics that show that the lower income classes have increased wealth, standard of living or any other important index by even just an order of magnitude lower than commensurate with the gain in wealth and power of the very rich. As has already been noted, if you're not keeping up it is the same as falling behind and that doesn't even include predatory practices that strip ones options in a skewed "playing field".

wikipedia_US_housing_bubble said:
In the wake of the mortgage industry meltdown, Senator Chris Dodd, Chairman of the Banking Committee held hearings in March 2007 in which he asked executives from the top five subprime mortgage companies to testify and explain their lending practices. Dodd said that "predatory lending practices" were endangering home ownership for millions of people.[19] In addition, Democratic senators such as Senator Charles Schumer of New York were already proposing a federal government bailout of subprime borrowers like the bailout made in the Savings and Loan crisis, in order to save homeowners from losing their residences. Opponents of such a proposal asserted that a government bailout of subprime borrowers is not in the best interests of the U.S. economy because it would simply set a bad precedent, create a moral hazard, and worsen the speculation problem in the housing market.

...but a Wall Street bailout apparently has no such effect <sarc>..Also Dodd said "millions" and I said "hundreds of thousands" but what's an order of magnitude among friends?

Maybe this is all just Middle Class Mythology but then there is the sticky problem of the above documented data and similar studies such as caused Princeton and Northwestern to conclude America has officially evolved into an Oligarchy. Maybe there is no global climate change, Greece and Italy are just pretending to be bankrupt since there is no global economic crisis similar to The Great Depression (and for similar predatory reasons) and we can all gather 'round the campfire on the beach and sing "Blue Skies". Oh yeah, and above all, Oligarchies historically take really good care of middle and lower classes making certain they "keep up".

OK that last bit is perhaps overly sarcastic but come on, these people manipulate data for a living to sway public opinion in their economic and political favor. Have you not read Mein Kampf, or Machiavelli, or Sun Tzu or Goebbel's Principles of Propaganda or so-called Social Darwinism? Are you unaware or blind to the efforts to vilify Science and universal education? just in the area of human caused Global Climate Change alone this can be seen to be real and ugly and with huge economic agenda and impact. When global temperature averages hit +2C who do you think will find it most unpleasant? Apparently those in league with Oil interests either are in a state of complete denial or they believe with their wealth and power they can weather any storm and as for the rest, "Qu'ils mangent de la brioche".

RobertZimmerman said:
You don't need a weatherman to see which way the wind blows
 
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  • #76
enorbet said:
For the record I am not guessing nor imagining things...

I also cannot recall...
Regardless of what you want to call it, a vague and unsourced claim based on an old memory is useless here.
Conversely some here seem so convinced of the certainty of "the poor do not get poorer" it seems their position is beyond question, if not beyond reproach. The only "citations" I've seen here are statistics which are easily skewed...
I don't know what to say here. You started by saying something wrong about the statistics, then said you would admit you were wrong if you had been -- but didn't -- and now say you just refuse to believe the statistics. You need something on which to base your accepted position that is better than decades-old memories and refusal to accept simple data when it disagrees with your opinion.

The issues of rich vs poor and inequality are simple statistical issues. They cannot be easily biased in the reporting.
Some thoroughly documented facts -

From 1920-1930 the top 4 earners were John D. Rockefeller, Henry Ford, Andrew Mellon, and William C. Durant who paid taxes on $900 Million, $500 Million, and $300-$400 Million respectively. Durant's family claims he had $1 Billion dollars at one point before he lost it all, but I can find no information on what he actually reported. These men did not exist in a vacuum but rather in a community of wealthy and powerful friends and associates. Some of the above worked together in Stock Pools along with dozens of others.

By contrast the present reported net worth of the Koch Brothers is over 100 times as large as the Rockefeller family in 1930 at over $100 Billion.
1. Please provide the documentation!

2. It appears to me that after wrongly chiding me for using un-inflation adjusted data, you've done it yourself! A simple google of "Rockefeller net worth" reveals that his net worth when he died in 1937 was $340 billion (not sure in what year's basis), making him the richest man in history:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/carlodo...kefellers-the-legacy-of-historys-richest-man/
This link says $400 billion, so perhaps the $340 billion was based on an ealier year for inflation equivalence:
http://www.therichest.com/rich-list/world/10-of-the-wealthiest-historical-figures-to-ever-live/9/

So the Koch Brothers are nowhere close to as wealthy as Rockefeller was.

3. It appears you are misunderstanding the difference between income and wealth. The link below says Rockefeller's net worth was $800 million in 1918, which is close to your stated value of $900 million for his net worth. But you're taxed on income, not net worth, which for him was $33 million (in 1918 $).
http://www.nytimes.com/learning/general/onthisday/bday/0708.html
So it can certainly be seen that the rich have gotten richer, to put it lightly.
That has never been in dispute, but you've picked a very wrong way to try to show it.
I cannot find any statistics that show that the lower income classes have increased wealth, standard of living or any other important index...
Did you read any of the data presented earlier? I posted graphs in Post #21 of inflation adjusted income. Income is what best translates into standard of living.
...by even just an order of magnitude lower than commensurate with the gain in wealth and power of the very rich.
Again: no one has claimed the poor gained as much as the rich. That's not what is being pointed out. What is being pointed out is simply that the poor do in fact get richer, not poorer, over time.
As has already been noted, if you're not keeping up it is the same as falling behind...
No, it really isn't. Again, that's the inequality = poverty fallacy.
 
  • #77
enorbet said:
For the record I am not guessing nor imagining things and more importantly I have no reason to do so since it is not my desire nor agenda to prove anything but rather simply to try to get at some truth and understand these processes better. In fact I would be delighted to discover that "the poor get poorer" is a myth or outright lie. That would seemingly lead to some fascinating perspectives.

I have freely reported any areas where my memory is sketchy such as the exact name of the documentary. I also cannot recall if it was Mike Wallace who was the interviewer but I do recall for certain that it was a nationally renowned, highly experienced and respected commentator. I remember best, naturally, that which shocked me the most. Additionally I have repeated her story many times over the years exactly because it was so shocking and not once have I embellished anything nor left out any contradictory data. There simply was no need to "gild the lily".

Conversely some here seem so convinced of the certainty of "the poor do not get poorer" it seems their position is beyond question, if not beyond reproach. The only "citations" I've seen here are statistics which are easily skewed, especially when it is desired to sell something. "Three out of four doctors choose Anacin", "Our speakers are flat from 20Hz to 20Khz", "Our amplifiers produce a whopping 400 Watts", etc. In the first case we are not told the sample only includes four hired "doctors" but in the last two types the specifications merely leave out any qualifying data. I sincerely doubt that in a forum such as this with people learned in so many fields that I need to go into just how important the qualifying data is and how misleading the specifications are. The same is true of any statistics as you also must know. Graphs are notorious in this since it is so easy to adjust x vs/ y scaling to that peaks and dips appear either smaller or larger as the author requires. Also start and end points can be chosen that reflect an agenda, not clear fact.

One example of this is the Home Ownership graph shown in a previous post which only goes back to 1960 and stops at 2000, before the Real Estate Bubble during which an actual crisis of foreclosures put many hundreds of thousands out of their homes and back in the hands of bankers. It was an entirely engineered crisis bearing many similarities to the methods Stock Pools used to inflate stock prices sold on margin during the 1920s, leading to the Market Crash of '29 and The Great Depression, which while actually devastating lower income brackets, had less effect on higher income families and made some even more wealthy, more powerful.
I don't want to be rude, however actually the graph ends somewhere around 2013 or 2014. May I treat the rest of your accusation (especially less verifiable part) similarly serious?
Define "engineered crisis", because it sounds as far reaching accusation, but as non-native speaker I'm not sure what's it supposed to mean.

That said, it appears there is at least some credence to the concept that News agencies have reported falsely dire impressions as actual news.
It may be a better business to maintain misconception, that make the viewers feel awkward after being confronted with news that contradict their prior believes. ;)

A far more accurate data set comes from the US Census Bureau

http://eadiv.state.wy.us/housing/Owner_0000.html
Your source:
HOMEOWNERSHIP RATES
1900 : 46.5%
1910 : 45.9%
1920 : 45.6%
1930 : 47.8%
1940 : 43.6%
1950 : 55.0%
1960 : 61.9%
1970 : 62.9%
1980 : 64.4%
1990 : 64.2%
2000 : 66.2%

I add fresher data:
http://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/data/q413ind.html
[table 5]
let's select 4th quarter:
2010 : 66,5%
2013 : 65,2%

It is my understanding that a much higher percentage of Americans first entering the marketplace these days will never afford to own their own home in contrast to early 20th century. Perhaps these adjustments don't include such concerns.
Does the data (including those that you brought) is somewhat incompatible with your opinion?
 
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  • #78
Czcibor, you really butchered the quotes there...can you fix that?
 
  • #79
@Czcibor - Excuse me but I didn't post the links to denigrate your position on home ownership but rather my own and I apologized for my error. Simply put, on that front I stand corrected.

@russ_watters - All of my numbers in the previous post came directly from several wikipedia pages. I apologize for employing misdirection to get you to state how unadjusted figures can be misleading or more importantly how they do not tell the whole story. So, since the Koch family is "nowhere close to as wealthy as Rockefeller" is it now your position that the rich got poorer and the poor got richer? Do you see the point? Nowhere have we documented for example tax rates then and now, especially including the nebulous loopholes that favor the very rich. Simple income is not enough and changes in relative income matters. How can it not?

Recently, Austan Goolsbee, then-chairman of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers, stated that "Americans for Prosperity", essentially The Koch Brothers, paid zero income tax. This has not been refuted. Instead Koch Brothers filed suit as to how anyone accessed their confidential tax data, and the administration is back-pedaling to avoid litigation, but the larger picture still exists. Apparently we, at least the public, have no legal means of discovering the actual rate at which corporations contribute. Citation - This is all over various news outlets with slightly different spin but here is one - http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs...e-house-how-did-you-get-our-tax-information-1

These statistics do not say anything about access to power to change one's conditions, whether political, educational, whatever. Certainly Rockefeller bought politicians but those politicians were hampered in doing Rockefeller's bidding because the laws giving them power in the economy simply did not exist yet. I contend that American society is more horizontal now than it was in the early 1900's and I will seek documentation to demonstrate that, even though it seems that laws making a corporation essentially a citizen and opening up floodgates for campaign contributions all by itself should be sufficient. This reminds me of courtrooms in which both the DA and the Defense have their own "dueling experts". They can't both be exactly right, so how do we decide which is closest to the truth and pertinent to the case?

Most important to me is the progression which I think speaks to the full concept of inequality=poverty equation. Rockefeller worked in a political-economic environment in which government had a great deal less control and inclination to exert it over business. This was instrumental in his being able to manipulate markets to become unimaginably wealthy. He did not, however, have the means to exert anywhere near the political clout that the Koch family has. That has evolved over time as such wealth-fueled interest groups efforts have stacked up. Even William Randolph Hearst could only dream of the monopolization of media that exists today.(Do I really need a citation for this?)

The bottom line for me is this - Is it still possible for any American to become President? Is it still possible for many born poor to become a CEO? Is Mr. Smith going to Washington more true today or more a laughable fairy tale? What are the odds that a person born to a given class is upwardly mobile in 1920 vs/ 2020? Has it gone up or down?
 
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  • #80
  • #81
Saw this on the 6 o'clock news tonight, a new report by the OECD concluded that:

“income inequality has a sizeable and statistically negative impact on growth, and that redistributive policies achieving greater equality in disposable income has no adverse growth consequences.

“Moreover, it [the data collected from the thinktank’s 34 rich country members] suggests it is inequality at the bottom of the distribution that hampers growth.”

Key findings:

 The gap between rich and poor is now at its highest level in 30 years in most OECD
countries.
 This long-term trend increase in income inequality has curbed economic growth
significantly.
 While the overall increase in income inequality is also driven by the very rich 1%
pulling away, what matters most for growth are families with lower incomes slipping
behind.
 This negative effect of inequality on growth is determined not just by the poorest
income decile but actually by the bottom 40% of income earners.
 This is because inter alia people from disadvantaged social backgrounds underinvest
in their education.
 Tackling inequality through tax and transfer policies does not harm growth,
provided these policies are well designed and implemented.
 In particular, redistribution efforts should focus on families with children and youth,
as this is where key decisions on human capital investment are made and should
promote skills development and learning across people’s lives.

http://www.oecd.org/social/Focus-Inequality-and-Growth-2014.pdf (4 page overview, The full report and source data are linked on 4th page)
 
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  • #82
I tried to follow their logic behind this report. The source of harm to the economy is lower chance of people with lower parental background to get proper education.

Sounds possible. However, also raises the question whether the problem are inequalities in general or construction of education system. (yes, I think about famous study concerning outcome of proper kindergarten for kids from pathological families)
 
  • #83
@Czcibor - Please forgive me for not answering your direct question directly. Now that we are clear that I was not accusing you of anything I can focus on that - the definition of "engineered crisis". Stock Fraud goes back at least to the 1700s and includes many types of schemes such as Pyramid and Ponzi schemes, and Stock Pools but almost always has some form of credit involved.

The most glaring example to which I referred were Stock Pools wherein men like Rockefeller, Durant, Vanderbilt, Mellon and associates would pool their money and buy stock as a block. By buying up much or most of, say, a $5 stock that activity would cause an increase in demand which drove the price up to $10, then $20, then $50. Sometimes "watering" was employed because it was a simple matter to just print up more shares as there were few regulations, and with stock splits the holdings of the Pools became vast. Any new shares could be bought up rapidly because buying stock on margin meant getting $10 worth of stock dividends for a $1 investment... assuming there would be any dividends. Also sham corporations were formed existing only on paper and whose only "product" was stock certificates. So in the above example, they bought at $5 falsely inflated the value and sold at $50. Nice scam, huh?

At that agreed upon point, when the pool decided it could grow no more, the pool would sell all it's stock, a large enough block that prices would begin to fall... hard. So others wishing to cut their losses would sell and often a panic ensues. It is unlikely that Stock Pools of the 1920s wanted the bubble to burst so explosively that The Great Depression became inevitable, they likely just wanted to make a quick buck and devil take the hindmost. It did not go unnoticed, though, that for some, The Great Depression was a nationwide fire sale as lower classes needed to liquidate assets fast to survive. Some rich got richer even during The Depression.

Similarly the recent Real Estate Bubble was created by the same combination of inflated prices and easy credit. There is little doubt that the banks lending these funds, at some point knew the borrowers could not pay off the loan principle because prices can't keep going up forever. Since the first several years of payments are almost entirely interest and almost nothing goes to principle, the bubble bursting becomes inevitable. Results - people lost their life savings, credit rating and their homes. Banks got to keep all the payments on inflated prices and then repossess the homes. Those that had the loans long enough to have made a dent in principle were bought off at the new, more realistic, uninflated, vastly lower values. Win, win... if you were a banker.

This sort of "white collar larceny" and con game is what I meant by engineered crisis. The "fire sale" outcome of "conning the rubes" was planned all along and is as old as commerce itself.
 
  • #84
enorbet said:
@Czcibor - Please forgive me for not answering your direct question directly. Now that we are clear that I was not accusing you of anything I can focus on that - the definition of "engineered crisis". Stock Fraud goes back at least to the 1700s and includes many types of schemes such as Pyramid and Ponzi schemes, and Stock Pools but almost always has some form of credit involved.

[unrelated stuff]

Similarly the recent Real Estate Bubble was created by the same combination of inflated prices and easy credit. There is little doubt that the banks lending these funds, at some point knew the borrowers could not pay off the loan principle because prices can't keep going up forever. Since the first several years of payments are almost entirely interest and almost nothing goes to principle, the bubble bursting becomes inevitable. Results - people lost their life savings, credit rating and their homes. Banks got to keep all the payments on inflated prices and then repossess the homes. Those that had the loans long enough to have made a dent in principle were bought off at the new, more realistic, uninflated, vastly lower values. Win, win... if you were a banker.

This sort of "white collar larceny" and con game is what I meant by engineered crisis. The "fire sale" outcome of "conning the rubes" was planned all along and is as old as commerce itself.

You know, I've got a feeling that we had a few reckless drivers that crashed together and now you selected the one that you dislike and claim that he "engineered" all car accident.Let me think who we have:

1) You mentioned banks. Yes, making bet and just in case too big to fail. Yes, brilliant securitization which spreads risk so well, that no-one knows which risk he holds.

But let's talk about those who you forgot to mention:

2) People who actually take a loan which they can not afford. Yes, they also make a bet on price increase, and just in case non-recursive loan or controlled bankruptcy. Have they "engineered the crisis"?

3) US Central gov and its offshoots:
a) FED that flooded market with interest rates below inflation
b) tax system which allows mortgage interest rate deduction for private people, to make loan much better idea than renting
c) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - they were created to encourage private companies to lend to bottom layer people
The intent was increase of home ownership, and this target seemed to work...

4) US Local gov's - zoning laws which created artificial scarcity of construction land and let the housing bubble to grow.

5) Consumer organizations - fight heroically with redlining (I'm curious why they don't celebrate whole subprime loan crisis as their mass success in convincing banks to finally lend money to the usually destitute and discriminated part of the US society ;) )

it. There is little doubt that the banks lending these funds, at some point knew the borrowers could not pay off the loan principle because prices can't keep going up forever.
Yes, financial institutions started to realize what they invested and tried to either dump those papers or at least stop pumping more money that triggered the crisis... ;)
 
  • #85
enorbet said:
@Czcibor ...

... The Great Depression became inevitable, they likely just wanted to make a quick buck and devil take the hindmost. ... Some rich got richer even during The Depression... recent Real Estate Bubble was created by the same combination of inflated prices and easy credit. There is little doubt that the banks ... Since the first several years of payments are almost entirely interest and almost nothing goes to principle, the bubble bursting becomes inevitable... ... Banks got to keep all the payments on inflated prices and then repossess the homes. Those that had the loans long enough to have made a dent in principle were bought off at the new, more realistic, uninflated, vastly lower values. Win, win... if you were a banker...The "fire sale" outcome of "conning the rubes" was planned all along and is as old as commerce itself.


enorbet - You've had repeated responses pointing out the need for references for the various assertions making up your narrative (many of which are misleading or completely wrong). Why do you continue to ignore these requirements?
 
  • #86
@mheslep - This is the Social Science section and if I'm not mistaken it has one major difference from hard Science in that inanimate objects have rather hard rules about their behavior and are incapable of planned deception or theft, unlike human beings. Additionally, and for the same reason - humanity, how one interprets political and socio-economic data depends a great deal on ones position. One could add that inanimate objects also are not in any perceived competition for survival. The Robin's song does not say "Cheeerrup!" to the worm. Everyone knows history is written by the victor and propaganda, whether subconscious bias or ruthlessly planned, has been a fact of life probably since there were human communities.

In short, hard science is objective and social science is largely subjective or we wouldn't have both The Holocaust Museum and Holocaust Deniers, who also have their "citations". FTR I have not ignored these requirements and have posted links to documentation where I thought they might be needed. Since much of this is from News, either present or historical, it is readily available without difficult, arcane searching. It seems fruitless to footnote each and every point in an area so strongly affected by position and opinion.

Furthermore, and as further evidence, I have received a number of "Likes" as well as complaints. Isn't this exactly the point? How one views my posts has much to do with our own preconceived notions in the social arena, all of us. I have recanted and apologized where I saw that I misunderstood hard data and will continue to do so, but just because you think I have been "misleading or completely wrong" doesn't make it so. Where are your references? Are you implying by what you quoted that Stock Pools didn't falsely manipulate stock values with the expectation of windfall profits and all the while knowing such fraud would hurt, even devastate many? The SEC owes it's very existence to these documented facts. Do you really need a citation for this? and how is the Stock Bubble fundamentally different from the Real Estate Bubble?

Since you seem to have trust that there were no prime movers engaging in fraud and theft, here's a brief overview

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/09/history-of-fraud.asp

@Czcibor (and also applies above) There is no question that it takes many factors to cascade into truly large scale events, but there are prime movers and generally the way to find them is "follow the money" - Who stood to gain?
 
  • #87
Enorbet, you are mistaken. Your claims are required to be based on evidence and in particular everything we are discussing here (the topic of the thread, not your tangents) is actual data.

More on your previous post later. But the short of it is:
1. Stop posting wrong and speculated information.
2. Start posting sources.
3. Stop posting opinions about "why" because this thread is about "what".
 
  • #88
enorbet said:
All of my numbers in the previous post came directly from several wikipedia pages. I apologize for employing misdirection to get you to state how unadjusted figures can be misleading or more importantly how they do not tell the whole story.
What?!? So you purposely gave false information after wrongly accusing me of doing the same instead of acknowledging your error? And you did this to show something that isn't a problem with the thread, but apparently you still think it is because of the errors you made here?

Instead of purposely making your error worse, what you should be doing is acknowledging your error and fixing it.
So, since the Koch family is "nowhere close to as wealthy as Rockefeller" is it now your position that the rich got poorer and the poor got richer?
What? No! I never said any such thing and the wrong information you posted doesn't address that question at all! This is your mess, not mine!
Do you see the point?
No, I don't. What it looks like to me is that you have no idea what you are talking about and are making this stuff up as you go and/or misunderstanding what you are reading here and in other sources. You've made such a mess here, I'm considering deleting your entire contribution to the thread because I'm not sure it is salvageable. But here's your chance to fix all of that: Make a point, and make it a good one.
Nowhere have we documented for example tax rates then and now, especially including the nebulous loopholes that favor the very rich.
Fine: document it for us and explain what the data tells us.
...and changes in relative income matters. How can it not?
"How can it not?" is not a logical argument, it is a statement of faith.

Further: You need to stop your "Koch Brothers" tangent. It isn't relevant to the thread. This thread is about what, not why. But it looks to me like you have a strong belief in a "why" that is causing you to believe a "what" that isn't supported by evidence. You need to drop that and start looking at the evidence without a pre-assumed "why" to color your interpretation of it.
 
  • #89
enorbet said:
@Czcibor (and also applies above) There is no question that it takes many factors to cascade into truly large scale events, but there are prime movers and generally the way to find them is "follow the money" - Who stood to gain?

Let's see:
- top bankers whose banks were on state aid had their salaries curbed - not specially; (they would be insane rich anyway, and their excessive salaries are easier to justify during boom)
- investors - lost quite a lot - no;
- people who overspent and later asked for bankruptcy protection - not bad, but took a blow to their credit rating;
- people working in gov regulation bodies - seem to clearly benefit from the crisis. If everyone worked just fine, no one would think about hiring them in masses.
- insolvency lawyers - clearly had their best days during the crisis.

OK, my conspiracy theory involves civil servants and insolvency lawyers (they were seen during many insolvencies, benefited from them so are clearly involved). As you pointed out its a matter of subjective view.

More seriously: anyway why are we excluding less thrilling ideas like mixture of somewhat irresponsible actions of independent actors with addition of bad luck?
 
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  • #90
I have no argument with dropping the Koch Family from discussion even though I see them as an example of "what" not a tangent of "why". Consider it fait accompli. I am willing to comply.

So, moving along (sorry if it's clunky, I don't yet know how to quote someone elses quote along with their response)-

Posted by Vanadium50 quoted and response by russ_watters -
1. Income is not wealth. Using one as a proxy for the other is like using velocity as a proxy for position. A small disparity in income, acting over time, becomes a much larger disparity in wealth."<snip> "3. Accounting is important. Perhaps this is best illustrated by example. Bob taught in the public school system and has just retired. He has a $40,000 a year pension. Joe taught at a private school system and has just retired. His 401(K) is returning $40,000 a year to him. Otherwise they have the same assets. Who is richer?

In most studies, Joe would be considered about a million dollars richer than Bob, even though their standards of living are identical. This is solely due to how we usually calculate wealth - we include defined contribution plans and exclude defined benefit plans. As the fraction of people with defined contributions plans instead of defined benefits plans rises, the calculated wealth disparity will rise, even if the standard of living disparity stays the same."

Posted by russ_watters -
"This comes largely from the fallacy that wealth is a zero sum game: "the rich get richer while the poor get poorer."

Where is the citation that supports that this is a fallacy? Even if given that wealth is not a zero-sum game, such as described in Pareto optimality http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_efficiency , the strongest criticism of that is wealth concentration -

[PLAIN said:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_concentration]"[/PLAIN]
Given an initial condition in which wealth is unevenly distributed (i.e., a "wealth gap"[6]), several non-exclusive economic mechanisms for wealth condensation have been proposed:

A correlation between being rich and being given high paid employment (oligarchy).
A marginal propensity to consume low enough that high incomes are correlated with people who have already made themselves rich (meritocracy).
The ability of the rich to influence government disproportionately to their favor thereby increasing their wealth (plutocracy).[7]

In the first case, being wealthy gives one the opportunity to earn more through high paid employment (e.g., by going to elite schools). In the second case, having high paid employment gives one the opportunity to become rich (by saving your money). In the case of plutocracy, the wealthy exert power over the legislative process, which enables them to increase the wealth disparity.[8]

Because they are non-exclusive, it is possible for all three explanations to work together for a compounding effect, increasing wealth concentration even further.

That seems to support that inequality and reduced mobility if not poverty are at least linked and tend to grow wider.

@russ_watters - With all due respect I suggest you ask yourself if you have held yourself to the same scrutiny and standard to that which you apply to me and other responding members.

It seems to me that repeatedly anyone who disagrees with you, at least on this subject, including respected sources, are dismissed as liars or fanciful idiots, and that position seems politically driven faith/opinion, not Science, since at least 8 times in this thread you refer to opposing politics as (a sampling)
russ_watters said:
"clever, ambitious, dishonest politicians" "We allow politicians to frame issues, which often means the questions we care about are posed as lies.""We need to stop accepting being lied to about poverty""We need to stop accepting being lied to about inequality"
etc etc. and with no citations supporting that these specific assertions are lies.

To me this smacks of typical political isolation wherein an X-wing (insert right, left, whatever) advocate can entirely dismiss any line of thinking and evidence without even reading it simply by noting a label of "Oh that's Y-wing (alternate accordingly) and therefore a lie and unworthy of any concern or examination" or like so many dismiss Darwin without ever bothering to read "Origin of Species" justified by their perception it is a plot full of lies in conflict with their interests and/or conclusions.

I have 6 posts in this thread which contain 7 links, and 3 additional references to publicly available documentation (more, as of this one) yet you still maintain that I have not provided citations. One of those was even to refute myself in the honest admission of an error on my part on housing expectation. Have you demonstrated such honest self regulation? Also, in all fairness a couple responses were to clarify what I meant in a previous post, as requested, so no citation was possible or needed for example to define what I meant by "engineered crisis". So since it is clearly not "no citations", by what criteria should I use more? If I state that "a^2 + b^2 = c^2" describes a right triangle do I need to cite Pythagoras?

I'm truly not trying to be facetious. It's relatively easy to determine what needs citation in hard science. In social science, not so much. What criteria should all members employ here in so-called Social Science?

The only "authority" of which I am aware that I referred to that I have not given citation was a description of a public TV news documentary in my first post regarding buying power in 1929 for which I can not find a video or transcript on the internet yet. Since then (and until such time as I can find it) I have not referred to that at all, let alone as a given, but simply omitted it altogether.

Regarding relative wealth of Rockefeller I most assuredly did NOT post false information as those figures were direct from wikipedia, which I stated. I simply did not go the extra mile to adjust their numbers and when you pointed that out, I used that as a demonstration of how statistics can be skewed. I did not set out to deceive you but sought to "roll with the punch" by showing how easily anyone can be deceived or mistaken by not looking under the presented stats. You have most often been diligent in this area, and set a good example, but not always in each and every case. That is probably to be expected in forums where commonly considerably less than 24 hours research and editing goes into a post.

Furthermore I have never attacked your character nor assumed you were lying. The truth is I have enjoyed many of your posts in the hard science areas. It just seems the old adage of "never discuss politics or religion" still holds true, at least here in this thread where it is impossible to extricate economy from politics, and where you resort to such disrespectful personal affronts like
russ_watters said:
" What it looks like to me is that you have no idea what you are talking about and are making this stuff up as you go"
in what seems an attempt to personally discredit someone (in this case, me), bringing nebulous doubt on anything stated regardless of citation or merit and again as if I had posted not one single citation.

More to the continuing dialogue -
https://www.physicsforums.com/members/russ_watters.142/#4 said:
3. We need to stop accepting being lied to about inequality. Inequality isn't poverty. If I give you $1,000 and give the person next to you $2,000, you just got richer, not poorer. If people start recognizing that a rich person getting richer does not mean they are going to have more trouble making ends meet."

While at that instant both are certainly richer, it does not stop there. It is not static. The dynamic effects are that the 1st party who got twice as much ($2000), changes demand commonly increasing prices which can reduce the 2nd party's buying power or even nullify it below a certain threshold to which the 1st party may not be vulnerable.It is not entirely unlike getting a raise that puts one in a higher tax bracket resulting in less "takehome".

Simply put and to use your example of game theory, if the 2 parties are playing poker and the next hand has an ante that rises to $1500, the 2nd party is out of the game and takes a complete loss while the 1st party has a chance to win and increase his total capital.

Additionally, the 1st party may hire an accountant to minimize his tax burden on that gift, while the 2nd party cannot afford to do so (or is ill-educated to understand the net gain) and loses more of his gift to tax.

While I don't think I fully comprehend the subtle differences between types of leverage http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance) The 1st party has more leverage of at least one of those. This doesn't even consider that the 1st party can buy politicians to pass laws that favor his investments and disfavor the 2nd party's. The wealth concentration factor simply increases this disparity in every measurable way as shown in the above wiki and also in the below book which largely prompted this whole thread and has been referenced several times already .

The Original Post by Vanadium50 starting this thread asked (in fair discussion of and in contrast to an article from MIT)
Vanadium 50 said:
"Suppose I could wave a magic wand, and double the income of everyone in the bottom half, and triple it for everyone in the top half. This would benefit everybody, at the cost of increasing inequality. Would this not be a good thing?

According to the book that heavily influenced the MIT article, Capital in the 21st Century, this is not only not a good thing it is a bad thing because of the net effect of wealth concentration. The book was an influence on the Princeton and Northwestern studies conclusion that the US is now an Oligarchy because of exactly that wealth concentration. This book is not mere opinion but rather an extremely well researched and documented treatise on the nature of economies.

[PLAIN said:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_in_the_Twenty-First_Century][/PLAIN]
Nobel prize-winning economist Paul Krugman called the book a "magnificent, sweeping meditation on inequality"[17] and "the most important economics book of the year — and maybe of the decade."[16] He distinguishes the book from other bestsellers on economics as it constitutes "serious, discourse-changing scholarship."[18] Krugman also wrote:

At a time when the concentration of wealth and income in the hands of a few has resurfaced as a central political issue, Piketty doesn’t just offer invaluable documentation of what is happening, with unmatched historical depth. He also offers what amounts to a unified field theory of inequality, one that integrates economic growth, the distribution of income between capital and labor, and the distribution of wealth and income among individuals into a single frame. ... Capital in the Twenty-First Century is an extremely important book on all fronts. Piketty has transformed our economic discourse; we’ll never talk about wealth and inequality the same way we used to.[17]

I strongly suggest to anyone interested in modern economies reading as much of it that you can find. Better, buy the book and read it all.

I have sincerely sought to be respectful of you personally, russ, while disagreeing with some of your assertions, but frankly if you find this offensive just go right ahead and delete my posts as you have threatened to do. IMHO that will only support one of the precepts of my personal biased opinion (and make no mistake we all have them) that applies in economics and politics just as it does in forums, that it is not a level playing field if the strong can and do prey on the weaker, and at the very least in business, historically many do. I contend that I have not created a mess. The mess exists in and of itself "in the wild" because politics and socio-economics are in process and seemingly in as perpetual "whose ox is gored?" conflict and as contentious as "chosen people".
 
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  • #91
billy_joule said:
Saw this on the 6 o'clock news tonight, a new report by the OECD concluded that:

Key findings:

http://www.oecd.org/social/Focus-Inequality-and-Growth-2014.pdf (4 page overview, The full report and source data are linked on 4th page)
Could you be more specific about where the "full report", is, because I'm not seeing it. And this summary does not address how they made their key finding (!?).
 
  • #92
Just skimmed the comments in this thread, as some were longwinded, and void of much substance.
My opinions, regarding this thread, and the topic:

This thread:
Economics, is apparently not a "Social Science", as I learned 8 years ago, but requires a new "Antisocial Science" field, all by itself.

The topic:
The premise of the original article seems to have been twisted from the start of the OP. Even as a left-winger, the notion that "inequality is bad", is ludicrous. What is bad, is hyper-inequality. Whitewashing hyper-inequality, with doctor vs potato picker salary, is just a waste of time.

In all of these economic debates, I always find, although calling someone stupid is verboten, so many rich and varied alternatives, are available: Liar! Clueless! etc. etc. etc.
 
  • #93
OmCheeto said:
Even as a left-winger, the notion that "inequality is bad", is ludicrous. What is bad, is hyper-inequality.
What is "hyper-inequality" and why is it bad? Or was that a joke?
 
  • #94
russ_watters said:
What is "hyper-inequality" and why is it bad? Or was that a joke?

After half an hour of googling, I can't find where I once told you, something to the effect; "I'll put a smiley in my post, when I'm joking"

Here's an example of past PF, Om researched, "hyper-inequality".

hmmm... How is John doing now? I really can't fault the man. Like that Texas family, who won the, "mer-cans are doin' a Palinesque drunken fight fest! Thayr distractud! let's kill the 'DEATH TAX'"!

Cha-Ching!

John Paulson, the man who made his first billions shorting the housing market, had a terrific 2013 after several years of malaise but is having a mixed 2014. He made a $1 billion bet on Botox-maker Allergen and supports Valeant Pharmaceuticals' proposal to buy the company. He's also bullish on Puerto Rico, which he called the Singapore of the Caribbean. The son of an Ecuadorian immigrant, Paulson once[...] more

Uh oh. This was a good thread too:

How to...:
Yeah, that's why I stopped talking politics at work...there just aren't enough dope slaps in the world for every deserving person to get theirs.

34.
 
  • #95
I find the argument that inequality is bad because it leads to politically active rich people kind of hard to swallow. What's the difference between Tom Steyer and the Koch brothers - all billionaires who are politically active? And, in a democracy, isn't the purpose of money in politics to try and convince people of your opinion? I say "try" because there plenty of examples of elections where one side poured a whole lot of money into it, and still lost. NY-19 is an example: Eldridge outspent Gibson 2:1, and lost by 30 points.
 
  • #96
Vanadium 50 said:
I find the argument that inequality is bad because it leads to politically active rich people kind of hard to swallow. What's the difference between Tom Steyer and the Koch brothers - all billionaires who are politically active? And, in a democracy, isn't the purpose of money in politics to try and convince people of your opinion? I say "try" because there plenty of examples of elections where one side poured a whole lot of money into it, and still lost. NY-19 is an example: Eldridge outspent Gibson 2:1, and lost by 30 points.

Of course that's the purpose, but shouldn't public interest take precedence? Income inequality doesn't lead to politically active rich people - they were always there. But because money facilitates power, the interests of the non-rich become under-represented. Anyway, there's two separate issues here: money in politics and inequality. If there's no money in politics, then inequality isn't an issue. To me, money in politics is the more pressing (and solvable) issue. Inequality is more of an emergent phenomena, we can try and patch it up, but we can never have complete control over the forces that lead to inequality.
 
  • #97
Vanadium 50 said:
I find the argument that inequality is bad because it leads to politically active rich people kind of hard to swallow...
I suspect inequality is a minor driver of these rich players, and that a government with large revenues and an inscrutable set of laws is a major one. Why? Because, as the bank robber said, that's where the money is. With a relatively small government (8% of GDP circa 1900) an Andrew Carnegie uses his fortune to build hundreds of libraries and tours his native Scotland; with a large one I suspect he instead applies himself to become Senator Carnegie and to work a deal to get his enterprise an ACA waiver.
.
 
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  • #99
How bad would poverty be without the wealthy? The 'poor' are not fed and housed by the 'poor'. There are people all over the world who would [and do] kill for the opportunity to be 'poor' in the USA, or most any other 'evil capitalist' nation.
 
  • #100
Several people have made the point that income inequality causes a loss of income mobility. Here is a study of that (behind a paywall, I am afraid) - "
Income Inequality and Intergenerational Income Mobility in the United States (Social Forces,doi: 10.1093/sf/sou092), by Dierdre Bloome of the University of Michigan. Figure (1) in her text shows the rise of inequality since about 1968 and the dramatic uptick since about 1980. Figure (2) shows income mobility (which is defined so that a low value indicates high mobility) which is consistent with flat or, if anything, decreasing (i.e.towards more mobility) over time.

Comments: The absolute intergenerational mobility in the US is about 0.47. My understanding of the way this is defined is that if you take a group of 30 year olds, 47% of the difference in their incomes can be explained by their parents' income when they were 30 year olds. Unlike many other measures, this follows a cohort, so you are looking at less inequality per group than you are with the US as a whole, where income inequality is driven largely by where you are in your career (the difference between two 20-year olds or two 70-year olds is smaller than the difference between a 20-year old and a 50-year old)

Bloome seems to expect a positive correlation between income inequality and income mobility. I would too. I would have thought that if one had relatively stagnant income mobility, that this would reflect in a higher inequality. (i.e. inequality is the effect, not the cause) That's not what the data show.

Bloome tosses out some possible reasons for this. I can play the same game, and I think we're seeing two factors moving in opposite direction. One is that there is a very strong correlation with intergenerational educational attainment. If you can afford to pay full freight, you can send your kid to any college that will take him. However, at the same time, college has gotten less rigorous. The price of college has gone up, but the value has dropped, and as such, the advantage is evaporating. I can't prove this is the reason, but it would explain this somewhat counter-intuitive result.
 
  • Like
Likes mheslep and Bystander
  • #101
jz92wjaz said:
It looks like it depends on what time period you look at. I found some longer term graphs and it appears to be fairly flat for the last decade or so.If everyone were better off (short and long term) with increased inequality from where we are currently, them I'm all for increasing inequality. Like I said above, I believe there's a tipping point somewhere where inequality makes things worse, not better. To be fair, excessive income inequality, in some cases, could be a symptom of other problems, as opposed to the cause.

The economy grows exponentially and those that fuel this growth are the ones that reap most of its benefits. Income distribution follows a power-law, one of the most ubiquitous patterns in nature.
 
  • #102
Pythagorean said:
Of course that's the purpose, but shouldn't public interest take precedence? Income inequality doesn't lead to politically active rich people - they were always there. But because money facilitates power, the interests of the non-rich become under-represented. Anyway, there's two separate issues here: money in politics and inequality. If there's no money in politics, then inequality isn't an issue. To me, money in politics is the more pressing (and solvable) issue. Inequality is more of an emergent phenomena, we can try and patch it up, but we can never have complete control over the forces that lead to inequality.
My apologies for agreeing with you, but I think you pegged it. (see my bolding)
Money in politics has caused, IMHO, a plethora of "emergent phenomena", leading up to, what we are now arguing about.

For example, money in media:

I heard the other day, that Dish Network had dropped Fox News.
I was somewhat happy about that, as I told myself, about 7 years ago, that I would subscribe to no media source, which carried such a program.
But then I saw that it was just temporary, pending a legal dispute, and resigned myself to the fact that my TV would remain simply an anachronistic ornament, sitting about 12 feet away from me. (believe it or not, it's of the particle accelerator design.)

Anyways, I only mention "The Fox News Channel", as they are owned by "Fox Entertainment Group", which is owned by "21st Century Fox", who's CEO is Rupert Murdoch, and is co-chaired by Lachlan Murdoch, his son, which kind of reminded me of Kim Jong-un, and his dad. And, I thought that was kind of funny, in a Joe Pesci kind of way.
 
  • #103
Vanadium 50 said:
Comments: The absolute intergenerational mobility in the US is about 0.47. My understanding of the way this is defined is that if you take a group of 30 year olds, 47% of the difference in their incomes can be explained by their parents' income when they were 30 year olds. Unlike many other measures, this follows a cohort, so you are looking at less inequality per group than you are with the US as a whole, where income inequality is driven largely by where you are in your career (the difference between two 20-year olds or two 70-year olds is smaller than the difference between a 20-year old and a 50-year old)
May I be malicious? Shouldn't there be an adjustment for genetic part of inheriting success/failure in life?
 
  • #104
Czcibor said:
May I be malicious? Shouldn't there be an adjustment for genetic part of inheriting success/failure in life?

Malice? I can't stop you. I can only think less of you.
 
  • #105
In principle, a world without inequality would be sooo boring...ultimately it would grind to a halt in a state of maximum entropy. There inherently needs to be some inequality, like for aexample a thermal gradient, to drive any dynamic processes, including economies. It is a motivator, if you like; it does not mean that any individual or group stays permanently in a disadvantaged state. Participants in the processes can move among states - some rich folks may become bankrupt while some poor folks may work up to more prosperous states, at different times. The hope is, in case of economies, that everyone strives to improve their state and so on the average, everyone's state improves over the long run, if the economy is at all productive. I will agree with equality as in equal opportunity, and equality before the law, but not enforced equalitie of the outcomes.
 

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