Micha said:
Marcus,
I have lent away my copy of Smolin's TWP, so unfortunately I can not come up with a page number.
...This section then ends, that no matter if this prediction then turns out to be right or wrong: "In any case, we would be doing real physics."
Papers: If you have two or three links easily at hand, I could give them a try...
Micha, you asked about Loop COSMOLOGY. That is probably more apt to be generating PREDICTIONS, but they will NOT have to do with gammaray dispersion.
You expressed some interest in the recent LQC papers I was talking about, so I will get the links
http://arxiv.org/abs/0705.4398
this is very new work which should lead to a test of LQC using supernova data. (no dispersion involved here) just an idea for how LQC explains accelerated expansion, which is either false, or (if true) predicts a different history of expansion from what the standard LCDM model predicts. My impression is that it is highly vulnerable to falsification by probing higher redshift supernovae---to distinguish a distinctively different earlier expansion history. My distinction between Loop Cosmology and the full LQG is somewhat artificial here but I'm not able to draw the line usefully in this case.
http://arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0703566
this illustrates a new research thrust in which LQC is challenging INFLATON-driven scenarios---and offering alternative resolution to puzzles such as "horizon problem" "flatness and structure problems". So far inflation-scenarios have not been much challenged because they seemed the only way to resolve e.g. the horizon problem.
But LQC models have a certain amount of inflation that does not require exotic matter, like an inflaton, but arises naturally from quantum corrections to the dynamics with any kind of matter at very high density. this natural inflation, together with a bounce, now seems to some people* to offer an alternative expanation for how different parts of the sky might be in thermal equilibrium.
The paper to which I gave the above link goes beyond this "horizon problem" discussion and addresses large scale STRUCTURE FORMATION. It asks if there is some that the scaleindependent fluctuation spectrum of the CMB might have arisen WITHOUT exotic-matter-driven inflation?
*for example Chiou and Vandersloot, we have a PF thread about their recent paper.
=================
Micha, you also asked about DISPERSION, modified Lorentz invariance, and all that. My feeling is that even tho it got into Smolin's book, which was probably in final draft over a year ago and could in that respect be a bit out of date, dispersion is not going anywhere. I could easily be wrong of course.
I remember Smolin saying much about the test of modified Lorentz invariance (dispersion, DSR etc) represented by GLAST. I've never understood the relevance of Auger and tend to think that the Auger part was not important.
By contrast, GLAST offers a clear decisive test of energy-dependent speed of light----it detects gammaray bursts and is sensitive enough to notice if the higher-energy photons come in a split-second earlier.
Smolin has consistently said that on general grounds he think any QG model should predict this kind of dispersion of gammaray photons. However he has not made a concrete prediction regarding some specific model (say some definite spinfoam.) And other people have stopped trying to derive the desired prediction from specific models.
GLAST will probably provide some data in 2008. It now looks as if we have missed getting a firm dispersion prediction, so that if gammaray dispersion not seen it will unfortunately not falsify any particular model. Indeed if dispersion is seen, I would judge that many people in the QG community will be thrown into confusion because they are not expecting it.
------------------------