Is the Standard Deviation Symmetrically Centered?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the concept of standard deviation and its relationship to the symmetry of uncertainty in a random variable. Participants explore whether the standard deviation can be assumed to be symmetrically centered and the implications of this assumption in statistical analysis.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant suggests that while standard deviation can be expressed as an average with error, it is unclear if this error is symmetrically centered.
  • Another participant argues that knowing only the standard deviation does not provide information about the symmetry of the uncertainty, and that additional information about the likelihood distribution is necessary.
  • A participant proposes the computation of integrals related to the standard deviation to assess symmetry, although this is met with skepticism.
  • Confidence intervals are suggested as a better approach to represent uncertainty, with the acknowledgment that they can take various shapes depending on the context.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on whether the standard deviation can be assumed to be symmetrically centered, with no consensus reached on this issue. The discussion includes multiple competing perspectives on how to approach the representation of uncertainty.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the dependence on additional information about the distribution of the data and the unresolved nature of the assumptions regarding symmetry in standard deviation.

jk22
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Suppose i have a random variable X and its standard deviation dx. We could write the average with error like $$<X>\pm dx/2$$.

But how do we know it is centered or not ? It could be +1/4 -3/4 for example.
 
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If you just know the standard deviation, you cannot know if the uncertainty is symmetric. If it is (significantly), which is an unlikely case, more information should be given, at least +x-y separately, but ideally the full likelihood distribution.
 
Could we compute $$\int^{<X>}x^2P (X=x)dx$$ for the minus sign and above the average for the plus sign ?
 
jk22 said:
Suppose i have a random variable X and its standard deviation dx. We could write the average with error like $$<X>\pm dx/2$$.

But how do we know it is centered or not ? It could be +1/4 -3/4 for example.

You could look at the data and see whether it looks centered. Or you could know something about the situation that tells you whether to expect it to be centered or not.

Confidence intervals can be any shape you desire. You just have to have a good reason to choose such a shape.

Many people just assume everything is normally distributed. Sometimes it is, sometimes it isn't.
 

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