Van Riet gives a decent analysis of today's flood of papers (
here):
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My 2 cents about these papers in case anybody would care. But before so, I must admit I only had a very superficial reading of all of them.
Paper 1 is interesting and a complementary review to the one I wrote with Danielsson. They seem to cover very similar topics (we did not cover quintessence though). But were we concluded trouble, they conclude the opposite. That is ok and makes this review a good read for folks interested in the topic, but I highly suggest to read
my review with Danielsson and the references therein, to have a balanced view. But I do not consider this review as a direct attack on the dS Swampland since no new computations were done that refute existing criticism it seems. Also the issue they point out about double fine-tuning in quintessence was already addressed by Vafa et al when they published their papers.
Then the
paper 2 by Kachru and Trivedi. It is good that their arguments are in print now. But I think it contains what they have been saying already for many years in defense of KKLT. Their EFT reasoning can make sense for sure. But it is not enough and subtleties are around the corner almost everywhere. But like the previous paper, this is good to have and especially this one is useful to pick apart for anyone that cares about criticism on the flux program. But, again, nothing too new.
Paper 3 by Wrase-Kallosh is really nice for me personally. Contains a very interesting idea. But I doubt it survives a thorough study of the open-string sector as you mention. For instance brane-flux decay here could be perturbative. I will check that. But as an idea paper, it is great! Both these authors are indeed great experts on the supergravity side of the story and they definitely came with a nice suggestion that needs to be studied. Also here, I doubt it counts as any evidence against dS Swampland ideas. But they do not push that either in their paper.
Paper 4 does not really address the issue from the start. As a 4D supergravity paper there might be something interesting, but it says little about the paper by Moritz et al they want to refute . Why? The latter paper is really about a 10D computation. Moritz et al then tried to reformulate their results in 4D sugra and are so nice to put it into the language of constrained superfields. That language is not guaranteed to make sense always. Anyhow, today's paper notices there is small issue with the constrained superfield description in a different position of moduli space. But I do not think that Moritz et al intented their results to apply that far away in moduli space in the first place (in line with Swampland distance conjectures).
Paper 5 could indeed fall into the problem you mention. But observational cosmology papers seem very shaky and there have been various tensions among complementary observations. As far as I can tell the current data are still easily fitted with time-dependent dark energy.
The possible existence of a dS landscape has huge implications. So it better rests on serious solid foundations. Foundations of the kind that makes theoretical physics such a great science. The papers today do not really help in gathering enough people to look into the details in order to find more mathematical support for or against the dS landscape. Vafa and friends created the academic, intellectual space to investigate this and that is great! We should be grateful for that. His move was necessary since too many papers are written about "stringy inspired EFT's". Whereas really listening as to how string theory constrains EFT's seems less popular, although much more relevant. It is less popular since it is simply more complicated. But, in the long run, will be more rewarding. Many things that may seem to have crawled out of the Swamp today, could very well fall back in later.
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