Preparing for the Next Big CME: Detection and Mitigation Strategies

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the potential impacts of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) on Earth's infrastructure, particularly the electric grid. The last significant CME, known as the Carrington Event of 1859, serves as a historical reference for the catastrophic effects such an event can have. Participants emphasize the need for a full blackstart of the electric grid post-CME, highlighting the lengthy delivery times for replacement transformers, which could exacerbate recovery efforts. Additionally, concerns are raised about the adequacy of current detection systems and the implications of supply chain issues on preparedness and response.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs)
  • Knowledge of electric grid operations and blackstart procedures
  • Familiarity with transformer supply chains and logistics
  • Awareness of current CME detection technologies
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the latest advancements in CME detection technologies
  • Study the implications of blackstart procedures for electric grids
  • Investigate the supply chain management of electrical transformers
  • Explore historical case studies of CMEs and their impacts on infrastructure
USEFUL FOR

This discussion is beneficial for electrical engineers, emergency preparedness planners, and anyone involved in infrastructure resilience against solar events.

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Yup. One consequence is a required full blackstart for the electric grid - after the shower is over. The last bad one, a direct X-level CME, was was in 1859. Nee the Carrington Event:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event

GPS and comsat would take a major hit.
 
We should invest in the Pony Express.
 
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Some years ago I read that power companies keep only a few replacement transformers like the ones in the substations and that it took about six months to deliver a new transformer. I do not know if that is still true.
 
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gleem said:
Some years ago I read that power companies keep only a few replacement transformers like the ones in the substations and that it took about six months to deliver a new transformer. I do not know if that is still true.
Given the current supply chain issues, I imagine there will be major problems in getting things back up Especially with the recent developments with China and the rest of the world.
 
Are there any other facilities besides the Inouye observatory capable of early detection of CMEs? If not is there thus a 12 hour period when it cannot detect CME activity? If true the 18 hrs warning drops to 6 hours.
I seems to me that loosing a substantial part of the grid for more that a few days amount of time will result in a situation that most people are ill prepared to deal with.
 

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