Probability proof - what formulas are needed here?

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SUMMARY

This discussion focuses on proving two probability statements involving conditional probabilities and independence. The first proof establishes that if P(A | B') > P(A), then P(B | A) < P(B). The second proof shows that if P(A | B) = P(A), then P(B | A) = P(B). The participants clarify that independence cannot be assumed in these proofs, emphasizing the use of the definitions of conditional probability and independence to derive the results.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of conditional probability, specifically P(A | B) and P(B | A)
  • Familiarity with the concept of independence in probability
  • Knowledge of probability notation, including P(A ∩ B) and P(B')
  • Basic algebraic manipulation skills for probability equations
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the definitions and properties of conditional probability
  • Learn about the implications of independence in probability theory
  • Explore the use of Bayes' theorem in probability proofs
  • Practice solving problems involving joint and conditional probabilities
USEFUL FOR

Students of probability theory, mathematicians, and data scientists looking to deepen their understanding of conditional probabilities and independence in statistical analysis.

SavvyAA3
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If events A and B are in the same sample space:
  • .
Proove that if P(A I B') > P(A) then P(B I A) < P(B)

(where B' is the Probability of A given not B)


  • .
Proove that if P(A I B) = P(A) then P(B I A) = P(B)

do we assume independence here so that P(A I B) = [P(A)*P(B)]/ P(B) = P(A) and state that since P(A n B) = P(B n A) that P(B I A) = [P(B)*P(A)] / P(A) = P(B) or is it wrong to assume independence here?
 
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For the second proof use the fact that P(A|B)=P(A&B)/P(B) and similarly for the other one. You can't assume independence, but it is easy to see that they are using the usual definition of independence P(A&B)=P(A)P(B).
 
Please could you show me the steps you would take
 
SavvyAA3 said:
If events A and B are in the same sample space:
  • .
Proove that if P(A I B') > P(A) then P(B I A) < P(B)

(where B' is the Probability of A given not B)

...

assume
P(A|B&#039;)&gt;P(A)
then

\frac{P(A\cap B&#039;)}{P(B&#039;)}&gt;P(A)

\frac{P(B&#039;|A)P(A)}{P(B&#039;)}&gt;P(A)

\frac{P(B&#039;|A)}{P(B&#039;)}&gt;1

P(B&#039;|A)&gt;P(B&#039;)

1-P(B&#039;|A)&lt;1-P(B&#039;)

P(B|A)&lt;P(B)

the other one isn't much different
 
Thanks soo much!
 

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