Proof that our solar system will leave the milky way.

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the conditions under which our solar system might leave the Milky Way galaxy, focusing on the implications of the Hubble constant and escape velocity in the context of cosmic expansion. Participants explore theoretical models and calculations related to orbital mechanics and the effects of the expanding universe.

Discussion Character

  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant presents a mathematical model suggesting that if the escape velocity is greater than the recessional velocity, the solar system would remain in orbit around the Milky Way.
  • Another participant points out a missing factor in the calculations, indicating a potential error in the initial assumptions.
  • A different participant challenges the premise of the problem, arguing that the Hubble flow applies only on large scales and does not accurately describe the motion of the solar system relative to the Milky Way.
  • Further contributions clarify that the value of the Hubble constant used in the calculations is incorrect and significantly overestimates the rate of expansion.
  • Some participants express the idea that the solar system is in constant motion, but question how this relates to the concept of leaving the Milky Way.
  • One participant shares a method for converting the Hubble constant into a more usable form, highlighting the utility of online calculators for such conversions.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the validity of the initial calculations or the physical assumptions behind them. Multiple competing views remain regarding the applicability of the Hubble flow to the solar system's motion.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved mathematical steps and assumptions regarding the definitions of escape velocity and the Hubble constant, which may affect the conclusions drawn from the discussion.

zeromodz
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Let us assume Ho = 71 1 / s


In order for our solar system to stay in orbit around the milky way, the escape velocity must be greater than the recessional.

Resc > Rrec
(2GM / R)^1/2 > HoR

Now let's refer to Kepler's third law to substitute in for the mass.

T^2 = 4π^2R^3 / GM
M = 4π^2R^3 / GT^2((2G / R) * (4π^2R^3 / GT^2))^1/2 > HoR
(8π^2R^2 / T^2)^1/2 > HoR
πR√(8) / T > HoR
π√(8) / T > Ho <------------------------- FINAL EQUATION!

What do you think? the units are dimensionally correct. If the inequality is satisfied, the object will stay in orbit forever by the means of the expanding universe. We can actually rearrange this even more to give..

π√(8) / Ho > T
0.125 s > T <-------------- This must be satisfied! Given Ho = 71 1 / s

Obviously, our solar system doesn't take 0.125 s to orbit the galactic center. Therefore, we should be moving away from it.
 
Last edited:
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You lost a factor of root(R) in there
 
zeromodz said:
Let us assume Ho = 71 1 / s

That's not correct. It's many orders of magnitude (Mpc/km) off.
 
There is just something wrong with posing the problem already. We do not move away from the galactic center because pf the Hubble flow (expansion of the universe). That is only correct on large scales (to be more precise: on scales over which the mean density is constant). So even if the numbers were correct, it is an unphysical problem.
 
zeromodz,

Vanadium and Harcel are right.

However in part you did something clever, namely you tried to write the Hubble rate in "per second" units.

You wanted to write it down in terms of "1/s" or s-1

But you got the value wrong. It is not 71 (seconds)-1.

71 is much too big, like Vanadium says "by many orders of mag."

I think the Hubble parameter, as an inverse time, is about

1/(14 billion years)

That would be one over a huge number of seconds.

We could calculate what it is using the google calculator, just to see.
I have to go out. back later.

Back now. I just typed this into google
"71 km/s per megaparsec" (without the quotes)
and it told me the "per second" value of the Hubble rate. It said

2.3 x 10-18 per second

or what is the same, 2.3 x 10-18 Herz

Google has this built-in calculator which is good at converting unfamiliar units, so you don't have to look up the conversion factor. You don't have to do anything but type in the expression you want to have it evaluate.
If you need any help typing stuff in the right format so it will be recognized. Ask.
 
Last edited:
I think its safe to say we don't stay in one place in space AT ALL! (We are constantly drifting)
 
Dude111 said:
I think its safe to say we don't stay in one place in space AT ALL! (We are constantly drifting)

Yes, but what does this have to do with us leaving the Milky Way?
 
marcus said:
zeromodz,

Vanadium and Harcel are right.

However in part you did something clever, namely you tried to write the Hubble rate in "per second" units.

You wanted to write it down in terms of "1/s" or s-1

But you got the value wrong. It is not 71 (seconds)-1.

71 is much too big, like Vanadium says "by many orders of mag."

I think the Hubble parameter, as an inverse time, is about

1/(14 billion years)

That would be one over a huge number of seconds.

We could calculate what it is using the google calculator, just to see.
I have to go out. back later.

Back now. I just typed this into google
"71 km/s per megaparsec" (without the quotes)
and it told me the "per second" value of the Hubble rate. It said

2.3 x 10-18 per second

or what is the same, 2.3 x 10-18 Herz

Google has this built-in calculator which is good at converting unfamiliar units, so you don't have to look up the conversion factor. You don't have to do anything but type in the expression you want to have it evaluate.
If you need any help typing stuff in the right format so it will be recognized. Ask.

71, 2.3 x 10-18 ... very close! ;)

Thanks for the info about the google calculator, I had no idea it was that impressive.
 

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