Representing Faults in Manufacturing Departments Using Events

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SUMMARY

This discussion focuses on representing faults in three manufacturing departments using event notation. The events A, B, C, D, and E are defined based on the operational status of the departments, with A representing all departments working without faults, and B representing no departments working without faults. The simplifications of these events using the individual department events F_k are confirmed to be correct, with D being expressed as the union of B and E. The participants also explore alternative representations and simplifications, particularly for event E.

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  • Understanding of event notation in probability theory
  • Familiarity with set operations (union, intersection, complement)
  • Knowledge of Karnaugh Maps for logical simplification
  • Basic concepts of fault analysis in manufacturing processes
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mathmari
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Hey! :o

I am looking the following exercise:

A medium-sized company has $n = 3$ manufacturing departments. Faults in the production process can occur in these departments.
We have the following events:
\begin{align*}&A=\{"\text{All departments work without faults}"\} \\ &B=\{"\text{
no department works without faults}"\} \\ &C=\{"\text{
at least one department works without faults}"\} \\ &D=\{"\text{at most one department works without faults}"\} \\ &E=\{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\end{align*}

We also have the events $$F_k=\{"\text{the } k\text{-th department works without faults}"\}, \ \ k=1, 2, \ldots , n$$

I want to represent the events $A, B, \ldots , E$ using the events $F_k$ and simplify them. I have done the following:

\begin{align*}A=&\{"\text{All departments work without faults}"\} \\ =& \{"\text{the first department works without faults AND the second department works without faults } \\ & \text{AND the third department works without faults}"\} \\ =& \{"\text{the first department works without faults}"\} \cap\{\text{"the second department works without faults}"\} \\ & \cap \{"\text{the third department works without faults}"\}\\ =& F_1\cap F_2\cap F_3\\ = &\bigcap_{k=1}^3F_k\end{align*}

\begin{align*}B=&\{"\text{
no department works without faults}"\}\\ =& \{"\text{the first department works with faults AND the second department works with faults } \\ & \text{AND the third department works with faults}"\} \\ =& \{"\text{the first department works with faults}"\} \cap\{\text{"the second department works with faults}"\} \\ & \cap \{"\text{the third department works with faults}"\} \\ =&
\overline{\{"\text{the first department works without faults}"\}} \cap\overline{\{\text{"the second department works without faults}"\}} \\ & \cap \overline{\{"\text{the third department works without faults}"\}} \\ =& \overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\\ =& \bigcap_{k=1}^3\overline{F_k}\end{align*}

\begin{align*}C=&\{"\text{
at least one department works without faults}"\}\\ = & \{"\text{the first department works without faults OR the second department works without faults } \\ & \text{OR the third department works without faults}"\}\\ = & \{"\text{the first department works without faults}"\} \cup\{\text{"the second department works without faults}"\} \\ & \cup \{"\text{the third department works without faults}"\} \\ =& F_1\cup F_2\cup F_3\\ = & \bigcup_{k=1}^3F_k\end{align*}

\begin{align*}D=&\{"\text{at most one department works without faults}"\} \\ =&\{"\text{no department works without faults}"\}\cup \{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\\ = &B\cup E\end{align*}

\begin{align*}E=&\{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\\ =&\left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap F_2\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap F_3\right )\end{align*} Is everything correct?

I am not sure about $D$ because I use the event $E$ that I define at the next step.

(Wondering)
 
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mathmari said:
Is everything correct?

I am not sure about $D$ because I use the event $E$ that I define at the next step.

Hey mathmari! (Smile)

It all seems correct to me.
As for D, shouldn't we substitute both B and E and try to simplify? (Wondering)
 
I like Serena said:
As for D, shouldn't we substitute both B and E and try to simplify? (Wondering)

We have that \begin{equation*}D= \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap F_2\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap F_3\right )\end{equation*}

Considering first the first two parentheses we have the following: \begin{align*} &\left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \\ = &\left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup F_1\right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \overline{F_2} \right ]\cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \overline{F_3}\right ] \\ =& \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cup F_1\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup F_1\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3}\cup F_1\right )\right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1} \cup \overline{F_2}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2} \cup \overline{F_2}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3} \cup \overline{F_2}\right ) \right ] \\ & \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\right ] \\ = & \left [\Omega\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup F_1\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3}\cup F_1\right )\right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1} \cup \overline{F_2}\right )\cap \Omega\cap \left (\overline{F_3} \cup \overline{F_2}\right ) \right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \Omega\right ] \\ = & \left [\left (\overline{F_2}\cup F_1\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3}\cup F_1\right )\right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1} \cup \overline{F_2}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3} \cup \overline{F_2}\right ) \right ] \cap \left [\left (\overline{F_1}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\right ] \\ = & \left (\overline{F_2}\cup F_1\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3}\cup F_1\right ) \cap \left (\overline{F_1} \cup \overline{F_2}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_3} \cup \overline{F_2}\right ) \cap \left (\overline{F_1}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\cap \left (\overline{F_2}\cup \overline{F_3}\right )\end{align*}

Is this correct so far? Can we simplify that part further? (Wondering)
 
Can't we make it:
$$
(\bar F_1 \cap \bar F_2) \cup (\bar F_1 \cap \bar F_3) \cup (\bar F_2 \cap \bar F_3) =
\bigcup_{i=1}^3 \bigcap_{j\ne i} \overline F_j
$$

That seems simpler doesn't it? (Wondering)
 
I like Serena said:
Can't we make it:
$$
(\bar F_1 \cap \bar F_2) \cup (\bar F_1 \cap \bar F_3) \cup (\bar F_2 \cap \bar F_3) =
\bigcup_{i=1}^3 \bigcap_{j\ne i} \overline F_j
$$

How do we get that? I got stuck right now. (Wondering)
 
mathmari said:
How do we get that? I got stuck right now. (Wondering)

To be honest, I used a Karnaugh Map to figure it out. (Sweating)
But we can also see it directly, since what we need is that at least n-1=2 departments have no faults.
 
I like Serena said:
To be honest, I used a Karnaugh Map to figure it out. (Sweating)
But we can also see it directly, since what we need is that at least n-1=2 departments have no faults.

Ah we have that \begin{align*}D= &\{\text{at most one department works without faults}\}\\ = &\{\text{no department works without faults OR exactly one department works without faults}\} \\ = &\{\text{all three department work with faults OR two department work with faults}\} \\ = & \{\text{at least two department work with faults}\} \\ = & \{\text{first AND
second dep. work with faults OR first AND third dep. work with faults} \\ & \text{OR second AND third dep. work with faults}\} \\ = & \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\end{align*} right? (Wondering)

$x\in \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )$ means that $x$ is contained in at least one parenthesis. If is contained in one parenthesis then we have that exactly two departments work with faults and if $x$ is contained in two or three parenthesis then we have that exactly three departments work with faults, which means that at least two departments work with faults.
Is this correct? (Wondering)

mathmari said:
\begin{align*}E=&\{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\\ =&\left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap F_2\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap F_3\right )\end{align*}

Can we simplify this expression? (Wondering)
 
Last edited by a moderator:
mathmari said:
Is this correct?

Can we simplify this expression?

Looks all correct to me.
And no, I don't think we can simplify it further. (Mmm)
 
I like Serena said:
Looks all correct to me.

Great! (Clapping)
I like Serena said:
And no, I don't think we can simplify it further. (Mmm)

Can we write it also in the following form?
\begin{align*}E=&\{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\\ =&\left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap F_2\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap F_3\right )\\ =&\bigcup_{i=1}^3 F_i\bigcap_{j\neq i} \overline{F_j} \end{align*}
Or is it better to leave it as it is in the second line? (Wondering)
 
  • #10
mathmari said:
Can we write it also in the following form?
\begin{align*}E=&\{"\text{exactly one department works without faults}"\}\\ =&\left (F_1\cap \overline{F_2}\cap \overline{F_3}\right )\cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap F_2\cap \overline{F_3}\right ) \cup \left (\overline{F_1}\cap \overline{F_2}\cap F_3\right )\\ =&\bigcup_{i=1}^3 F_i\bigcap_{j\neq i} \overline{F_j} \end{align*}
Or is it better to leave it as it is in the second line? (Wondering)

Sure, although shouldn't it be:
$$\bigcup_{i=1}^3 \left( F_i \cap \left(\bigcap_{j\neq i} \overline{F_j}\right) \right)$$
(Wondering)

And it's up to you to specify it or not. (Wink)
 
  • #11
I like Serena said:
Sure, although shouldn't it be:
$$\bigcup_{i=1}^3 \left( F_i \cap \left(\bigcap_{j\neq i} \overline{F_j}\right) \right)$$
(Wondering)

Ah yes (Blush)
I like Serena said:
And it's up to you to specify it or not. (Wink)

Ok!

Thank you so much! (Yes)
 

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