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Here is a longish article from Science mag news about using an agent based modeling approach and detailed geographic information to model what might happen if a small nuclear bomb went off in the middle of Washington DC.
The article also discusses the use of similar models for other purposes like modeling disease outbreaks, weather disasters, and economics.
They want to make models like these much more available for many cities.
I was happy that the radioactive plume did not go toward where I used to live (Bethesda, MD, to the NW), but my sister in Georgetown (same direction but much closer) would probably not do well.
The article also discusses the use of similar models for other purposes like modeling disease outbreaks, weather disasters, and economics.
They want to make models like these much more available for many cities.
I was happy that the radioactive plume did not go toward where I used to live (Bethesda, MD, to the NW), but my sister in Georgetown (same direction but much closer) would probably not do well.