Solve 500 Right or Wrong Questions: 0.3054936364*10^-148% Probability

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of answering 500 right or wrong questions correctly when answered randomly. The scope includes mathematical reasoning and probability theory, with a focus on assumptions regarding the nature of the questions.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning, Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant calculates the probability of answering all questions correctly as 0.3054936364 * 10^-148 percent, based on the assumption of 500 right or wrong questions and the formula involving combinations.
  • Another participant points out that the initial assumption of a 50-50 chance applies only to true-false questions, suggesting that the probability would differ for multiple choice or essay-type questions.
  • Some participants acknowledge the ambiguity in the phrasing of "right or wrong" questions, noting that it could imply different formats of questions.
  • A later reply humorously admits to a lack of reading comprehension regarding the initial post.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the assumptions made about the type of questions and the corresponding probabilities, indicating that the discussion remains unresolved regarding the correct interpretation of the problem.

Contextual Notes

The discussion highlights limitations in the assumptions made about the question types, which affect the probability calculations. There is also a lack of consensus on the interpretation of "right or wrong" questions.

ahmedhassan72
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If you have 500 questions (put right or wrong questions) and you will solve them all randomly as you don't know the answer so what is your probability to solve them all right?
express answer as e.g 1.5*10^-2
( don't think to try combinations one by one)



You can easily solve that 2 right or wrong questions have 2 answer probabilities, 3 right or wrong or wrong questions have 8 answer probabilities , and so on... so the number of combinations which you can get =number of one question probabilities * number of questions
so 500 questions combinations = 2^500 ( can't be solved by most calculators)
so let 2^500 =x
so log 2^500 = log x
so 500log 2 =log x
so x=10^(500log2)
=10^150.5149978
=10^150 * 10^5149978
=3.273390608 * 10^150
probability of solving them all right = 1/(3.273390608* 10^150) *100 =
=======0.3054936364 * 10 ^-148 percent
( i imagined of that problem and i solved it so it may be wrong)
 
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Quite right you are!

Have you covered this in school yet, or is maths also a hobby for you?
 
no i a haven't covered it in school that riddle is mine and maths is my best hobby
 
You are assuming that in "answering them all randomly" you have a 50-50 chance of getting anyone correct. That would be true only in "True-False" questions. If each question were multiple choice with 5 possible answers, the probability of answering one correctly by choosing at random would be 0.2 and the probability of answering them all correctly would be (0.2)500. If the questions were "essay" type, there is no way of figuring the probability of answering anyone of them correctly.
 
But, ahmedhassan DID make the assumption of (right or wrong) questions at the start.
Although I agree that this is ambiguous (since 4 wrongs and 1 right might be called a "right and wrong"-question!), I gave him the benefit of doubt.
 
One of these days I really should learn to read.
 

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