Solving Population Movement Sequence Problem

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SUMMARY

The population movement sequence problem involves a country with a stable population of 60,000,000, divided into a prosperous North with 20,000,000 residents and a poorer South with 40,000,000. The model predicts that 8% of the South's population moves to the North annually, while 2% of the North's population moves to the South. The derived equation for the Northern population after n years is p_n+1 = 4,800,000 + 0.9p_n, where p_0 = 20,000,000. The constant 4,800,000 is derived from the population dynamics and stability conditions of the model.

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Homework Statement

A country has a stable population of 60'000'000 people.
The country can be divided into two regions - a prosperous North and a poorer South.

Currently, 20'000'000 people live in the North while 40'000'000 live in the South.

A model for population movement predicts that each year:
8% of the people living in the South move to the North, and
2% of the people living in the North move to the South.

Let [tex]p_n[/tex] denote the population of the Northern part of the country in [tex]n[/tex] years' time.

Prove that [tex]p_n[/tex] satisfies
[tex]p_0 = 20000000[/tex], [tex]p_n+1 = 4800000 + 0.9p_n[/tex]

My problem

There are some questions involved with this question, and I've answered them. What's bugging me is, I'm sat there looking at this sequence equation, wondering how on Earth the examiner managed to derive it. Could anyone tell me how?

I've tried all sorts of stuff to figure out where the number 4800000 came from, but to no avail.

If it's any use, here's some stuff I managed to find.

[tex]NPop_n+1 = 0.98NPop_n + 0.08SPop_n[/tex]
[tex]SPop_n+1 = 0.92SPop_n + 0.02NPop_n[/tex]
 
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The population movement says N(n+1)=N(n)-0.02*N(n)+0.08*S(n). Since the population is stable S(n)=60000000-N(n). Substitute that into the first equation.
 
Thanks for your help.
 

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