Sunk Costs and Optimal Bidding Strategy for an Authentic $100 Bill Auction

  • MHB
  • Thread starter Jameson
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In summary, sunk costs are expenses that cannot be recovered and can influence bidding in an auction. The optimal bidding strategy involves considering the value of the item and observing other bidders. To determine the value of an authentic $100 bill in an auction, research and consultation with experts may be helpful. While it is generally not beneficial to bid more than the value of an item, there may be exceptions for rare or highly sought-after items.
  • #1
Jameson
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You are in an economics class where the topic of the day's lecture on "sunk costs" so to demonstrate your professor has a short auction. The item available is an authentic \$100 bill, worth \$100 current dollars of course. The bidding starts at \$1 and must increase by at least \$1 over the previous bid.

There is one extra rule though: If you are the highest bidder you win the money but if you are the second highest bidder you must pay your losing bid nevertheless.

You and a group of students begin the bidding and quickly it comes down to you and one other person. He bids \$98, you bid \$99 and he bids \$100.

What is the best strategy from this point on? Try to find a way to describe your optimal decision from this point on and assuming your opponent can make a large range of choices as well from this point on.

(Note: this POTW is a little different so to receive recognition for this problem your strategy must be non-dominated by another possible strategy and you must give your reasoning)
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  • #2
No one answered the problem in the way I intended, but since the goal of the situation (to win the most money or lose the least amount of money) might not be clear I will award MarkFL credit for this week's POTW.

1) MarkFL

Here is my solution:
You last bid \$99 so you stand to lose \$99. If you can lose less then this or make a profit from this point on then you are in a better situation. Your next minimum possible bid is \$101, which is a net of -\$1 if you win the auction, so this is clearly better than losing \$99.

In fact you can continue to increase the bid amount until \$199 and not lose money compared with your current situation. If you bid \$200 or more then you lose even more money, so the max bid you should make from here is \$199.
 

1. What are sunk costs in relation to an auction?

Sunk costs refer to any expenses that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered. In an auction, sunk costs may include the cost of attending the auction, researching the item, or any other expenses related to participating in the auction.

2. How do sunk costs affect bidding in an auction?

Sunk costs can influence bidding in an auction because bidders may feel more inclined to continue bidding in order to avoid losing the money they have already invested in the auction. This can lead to higher bids and potentially inflate the final sale price.

3. What is the optimal bidding strategy for an auction?

The optimal bidding strategy for an auction is to carefully consider the value of the item, your budget, and any sunk costs before placing a bid. It may also be beneficial to observe the bidding behavior of other participants and strategically bid accordingly.

4. How can one determine the value of an authentic $100 bill in an auction?

The value of an authentic $100 bill in an auction can be determined by researching the current market value of the bill and considering any unique factors such as serial numbers or condition. It may also be helpful to consult with experts or other collectors.

5. Is it ever beneficial to bid more than the value of the item in an auction?

It is generally not beneficial to bid more than the value of an item in an auction, as this can lead to overpaying for the item. However, in some cases, such as rare or highly sought-after items, there may be a strategic advantage to bidding slightly above the item's value in order to secure the winning bid.

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